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Real Oviedo W vs Rayo Vallecano W Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Primera Federacion Women 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Sumaila S.

AI Match Summary

Rayo Vallecano W in this Primera Federacion Women 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rayo Vallecano W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Real Oviedo W
30%
Draws
39%
Rayo Vallecano W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rayo Vallecano W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rayo Vallecano W lately — more wins on the board than Real Oviedo W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera Federacion Women 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Rayo Vallecano W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Real Oviedo W Clean Sheet 13%
Rayo Vallecano W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Oviedo W Rayo Vallecano W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 0.84 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2023 Primera Federacion Women
Real Oviedo W vs Rayo Vallecano W
0:1
Dec 11, 2022 Primera Federacion Women
Rayo Vallecano W vs Real Oviedo W
2:1
Feb 21, 2016 Liga F Women
Real Oviedo W vs Rayo Vallecano W
1:2
Sep 12, 2015 Liga F Women
Rayo Vallecano W vs Real Oviedo W
0:1
Feb 1, 2015 Liga F Women
Rayo Vallecano W vs Real Oviedo W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Oviedo W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Rayo Vallecano W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sumaila S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Oviedo W 31 / 100
Rayo Vallecano W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Oviedo W Rayo Vallecano W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayo Vallecano W has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Real Oviedo W scored in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Real Oviedo W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Oviedo W VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Oviedo W

(Home)
29 Aug
Athletic Bilbao B W
2 : 1
Real Oviedo W
02 May
Cacereno W
1 : 0
Real Oviedo W
25 Apr
Real Oviedo W
1 : 1
CE Europa W
04 Apr
Real Madrid B W
2 : 0
Real Oviedo W
29 Mar
Real Oviedo W
1 : 0
CA Osasuna W
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Rayo Vallecano W

(Away)
14 May
Rayo Vallecano W
3 : 1
Granadilla Tenerife B W
07 May
Athletic Bilbao B W
2 : 0
Rayo Vallecano W
30 Apr
Rayo Vallecano W
0 : 3
Dep. A Coruna W
23 Apr
CA Osasuna W
0 : 0
Rayo Vallecano W
16 Apr
Rayo Vallecano W
1 : 1
Eibar W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona B W 30 18 5 7 58:31 59
2 Eibar W 30 13 14 3 31:18 53
3 Dep. A Coruna W 30 15 8 7 52:29 53
4 CA Osasuna W 30 14 10 6 42:23 52
5 Granada CF W 30 14 8 8 40:28 50
6 Cacereno W 30 13 9 8 34:28 48
7 SE AEM W 30 14 5 11 35:30 47
8 Logrono W 30 11 10 9 42:38 43
9 Espanyol W 30 10 10 10 38:35 40
10 Albacete W 30 9 10 11 32:32 37
11 Athletic Bilbao B W 30 11 3 16 34:51 36
12 Rayo Vallecano W 30 9 8 13 31:45 35
13 Granadilla Tenerife B W 30 9 7 14 24:37 34
14 Real Oviedo W 30 7 6 17 28:45 27
15 Cordoba W 30 6 6 18 27:48 24
16 CD Juan Grande W 30 4 7 19 24:54 19
Promotion - Liga F Women 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)