Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Oviedo W vs Villarreal W

Spain Spain

Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Perez Machado N.
24' Event
Alexia Jr.
56' Event
Mbappe Etoundi R. N.

AI Match Summary

Villarreal W in this Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villarreal W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Real Oviedo W
11%
Draws
80%
Villarreal W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Villarreal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Villarreal W lately — more wins on the board than Real Oviedo W.
  • Win probability leans Villarreal W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Real Oviedo W Clean Sheet 16%
Villarreal W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Oviedo W Villarreal W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
Real Oviedo W vs Villarreal W
1:4
Oct 4, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
Villarreal W vs Real Oviedo W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Oviedo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbappe Etoundi R. N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Villarreal W Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez Machado N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alexia Jr.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Oviedo W 11 / 100
Villarreal W 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Oviedo W Villarreal W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villarreal W has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Real Oviedo W's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Real Oviedo W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Oviedo W VS Villarreal W
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Oviedo W

(Home)
02 May
Cacereno W
1 : 0
Real Oviedo W
25 Apr
Real Oviedo W
1 : 1
CE Europa W
04 Apr
Real Madrid B W
2 : 0
Real Oviedo W
29 Mar
Real Oviedo W
1 : 0
CA Osasuna W
22 Mar
Real Oviedo W
0 : 1
Betis W
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Villarreal W

(Away)
30 May
Valencia W
1 : 1
Villarreal W
23 May
Villarreal W
0 : 0
Valencia W
17 May
Villarreal W
3 : 1
CA Osasuna W
09 May
CA Osasuna W
1 : 2
Villarreal W
02 May
Real Madrid B W
1 : 1
Villarreal W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona B W26184467:2658
2Alaves W26175444:1556
3Valencia W261210435:1846
4Real Madrid B W26125935:2741
5Tenerife B W26116934:3639
6Villarreal W26108835:3138
7CA Osasuna W26961130:2633
8Albacete W2689925:3333
9Cacereno W26871122:3331
10Atl. Madrid B W26871126:3231
11SE AEM W26861226:3630
12CE Europa W26651529:4723
13Betis W26581324:4823
14Real Oviedo W26461618:4218
Promotion - Liga F Women (Main)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)