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Real Pilar vs Ituzaingo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza, Buenos Aires
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Pilar host Ituzaingo in the Primera B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Real Pilar have averaged 0.93 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Ituzaingo's 0.71 scored and 1.71 conceded. Head-to-head, Real Pilar have won 0 to Ituzaingo's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 5, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 0.76) point toward Real Pilar. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Real Pilar
15%
Draws
8%
Ituzaingo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Pilar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Ituzaingo haven't matched Real Pilar's recent run of results.
  • 77% — that's where the model lands on Real Pilar taking it.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Real Pilar Clean Sheet 20%
Ituzaingo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Pilar Ituzaingo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 1
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 0.93 0.71
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Primera B
Ituzaingo vs Real Pilar
2:0
Jul 13, 2024 Primera C
Ituzaingo vs Real Pilar
0:0
Feb 10, 2024 Primera C
Real Pilar vs Ituzaingo
0:0
Aug 8, 2021 Primera C
Real Pilar vs Ituzaingo
0:1
Mar 21, 2021 Primera C
Ituzaingo vs Real Pilar
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Pilar 67 / 100
Ituzaingo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Pilar Ituzaingo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Pilar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ituzaingo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Real Pilar scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Real Pilar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ituzaingo's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Pilar VS Ituzaingo
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Pilar

(Home)
03 Oct
Real Pilar
2 : 0
Villa Dalmine
25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0
Real Pilar
19 Sept
Real Pilar
2 : 1
Arsenal Sarandi
11 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1
Real Pilar
05 Sept
Real Pilar
0 : 2
Talleres Remedios Escalada
Page 1 of 6

Ituzaingo

(Away)
05 Oct
UAI Urquiza
3 : 2
Ituzaingo
25 Sept
Ituzaingo
0 : 1
Defensores Unidos
19 Sept
Villa Dalmine
3 : 1
Ituzaingo
11 Sept
Ituzaingo
2 : 2
Comunicaciones
07 Sept
Excursionistas
2 : 1
Ituzaingo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 38 22 8 8 59:30 74
2 Arsenal Sarandi 38 19 12 7 50:25 69
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 38 19 10 9 40:23 67
4 Sportivo Italiano 38 18 11 9 45:28 65
5 Villa Dalmine 38 17 13 8 38:23 64
6 Deportivo Camioneros 38 17 12 9 43:29 63
7 Real Pilar 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
8 Deportivo Armenio 38 17 9 12 42:38 60
9 Comunicaciones 38 14 13 11 39:34 55
10 Laferrere 38 13 12 13 46:50 51
11 San Martin Burzaco 38 12 14 12 39:41 50
12 Dock Sud 38 11 14 13 40:42 47
13 Villa San Carlos 38 11 14 13 37:39 47
14 Argentino de Merlo 38 11 11 16 33:39 44
15 Dep. Merlo 38 10 14 14 36:51 44
16 Argentino de Quilmes 38 9 16 13 30:37 43
17 CSD Liniers 38 10 13 15 31:39 43
18 Defensores Unidos 38 9 14 15 33:39 41
19 Brown Adrogue 38 8 15 15 24:37 39
20 Flandria 38 10 9 19 34:48 39
21 UAI Urquiza 38 5 20 13 21:35 35
22 Ituzaingo 38 1 12 25 25:62 15
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)