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Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS America First Field, Sandy, UT
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Match Events

14' Event
Bouanga D.
Assist: Son Heung-Min
18' Event
Lobjanidze S.
30'
Arias J. J.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Real Salt Lake and Los Angeles FC finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Real Salt Lake
20%
Draws
50%
Los Angeles FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Los Angeles FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Los Angeles FC come out ahead of Real Salt Lake on wins alone.
  • Model gives Real Salt Lake a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Real Salt Lake Clean Sheet 16%
Los Angeles FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Salt Lake Los Angeles FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.57 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC
2:2
Jul 23, 2026 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake
3:1
Sep 22, 2025 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake
4:1
Sep 18, 2025 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC
1:4
Jul 18, 2024 MLS
Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Salt Lake Compare

Top Goalscorer Lobjanidze S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caliskan N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Los Angeles FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouanga D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Son Heung-Min
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Salt Lake 41 / 100
Los Angeles FC 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Salt Lake Los Angeles FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Real Salt Lake found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Los Angeles FC conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Real Salt Lake went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Salt Lake VS Los Angeles FC
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Salt Lake

(Home)
10 Oct
Philadelphia Union
2 : 1
Real Salt Lake
27 Sept
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
New England Revolution
24 Sept
Seattle Sounders
2 : 0
Real Salt Lake
20 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 2
New York City
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Los Angeles FC

(Away)
11 Oct
Los Angeles FC
1 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0
Los Angeles FC
19 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
2 : 2
Los Angeles FC
13 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1
Los Angeles FC
10 Sept
Los Angeles FC
2 : 0
New York Red Bulls
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 28 15 6 7 61:30 51
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 28 13 8 7 52:45 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
5 Houston Dynamo 28 13 6 9 36:34 45
6 Los Angeles FC 29 11 9 9 44:31 42
7 Seattle Sounders 28 11 8 9 38:35 41
8 Colorado Rapids 28 11 4 13 39:39 37
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 28 9 6 13 51:54 33
11 Real Salt Lake 28 9 5 14 41:46 32
12 San Diego FC 28 8 8 12 48:51 32
13 Austin FC 28 7 10 11 36:51 31
14 Minnesota United 28 7 9 12 42:51 30
15 Sporting Kansas City 28 6 4 18 35:68 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 28 19 6 3 59:22 63
2 Inter Miami 28 13 10 5 68:50 49
3 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
4 New England Revolution 28 14 4 10 45:39 46
5 Charlotte FC 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
6 Philadelphia Union 28 12 6 10 56:45 42
7 Orlando City 28 11 4 13 51:66 37
8 New York Red Bulls 28 10 6 12 38:52 36
9 FC Cincinnati 27 9 9 9 58:65 36
10 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 27 6 12 9 34:46 30
13 Columbus Crew 28 8 5 15 41:46 29
14 Atlanta United 28 7 6 15 33:48 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)