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Real Salt Lake vs New York City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS America First Field, Sandy, UT
Real Salt Lake Logo

Real Salt Lake

0 - 2
FT
New York City Logo

New York City

Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Mercau N.
Assist: Ojeda A.
57'
Sub
Arias J. J. In: Henry K.
Out: Arias J. J.
57'
Sub
Moisa L. In: Guske C.
Out: Moisa L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

New York City in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored New York City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Real Salt Lake
15%
Draws
49%
New York City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New York City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Salt Lake lately — more wins on the board than New York City.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Real Salt Lake Clean Sheet 16%
New York City Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Salt Lake New York City
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.57 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs New York City
0:2
Jan 24, 2025 Club Friendly
Real Salt Lake vs New York City
2:2
Jun 11, 2023 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs New York City
0:0
Apr 17, 2022 MLS
New York City vs Real Salt Lake
6:0
Aug 4, 2019 MLS
Real Salt Lake vs New York City
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Salt Lake Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

New York City Compare

Top Goalscorer Mercau N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luighi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Salt Lake 36 / 100
New York City 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Salt Lake New York City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New York City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York City has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Real Salt Lake found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

New York City lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Salt Lake VS New York City
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Salt Lake

(Home)
10 Oct
Philadelphia Union
2 : 1
Real Salt Lake
27 Sept
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
New England Revolution
24 Sept
Seattle Sounders
2 : 0
Real Salt Lake
20 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 2
New York City
Page 1 of 6

New York City

(Away)
10 Oct
Chicago Fire
2 : 1
New York City
26 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 2
New York City
18 Sept
New York City
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
13 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 2
New York City
10 Sept
New York City
1 : 2
New England Revolution
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
3 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
4 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
13 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)