Sport Picks
Real San Joaquin vs Arturo Fernandez Vial Prediction & H2H Stats
Chile
Segunda Division 2024 
Match Events
20'
20'
Gonzalez R.
47'
47'
Diaz Garcia N.
53'
53'
Salvia D.
AI Match Summary
The Segunda Division 2024 game between Real San Joaquin and Arturo Fernandez Vial finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real San Joaquin.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real San Joaquin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Arturo Fernandez Vial haven't matched Real San Joaquin's recent run of results.
- Model gives Real San Joaquin a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Real San Joaquin Clean Sheet 19%
Arturo Fernandez Vial Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real San Joaquin | Arturo Fernandez Vial |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 4 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 17 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.58 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2024 Segunda Division
Real San Joaquin vs Arturo Fernandez Vial
2:1
Apr 19, 2024 Segunda Division
Arturo Fernandez Vial vs Real San Joaquin
0:0
Aug 5, 2023 Segunda Division
Arturo Fernandez Vial vs Real San Joaquin
0:0
Mar 25, 2023 Segunda Division
Real San Joaquin vs Arturo Fernandez Vial
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real San Joaquin Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Diaz Garcia N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Arturo Fernandez Vial Compare
Top Goalscorer Gillard A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real San Joaquin 42 / 100
Arturo Fernandez Vial 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real San Joaquin Arturo Fernandez Vial
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real San Joaquin scored in 64% of their last 36 games.
Defensive concern: Arturo Fernandez Vial conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Away concern: Arturo Fernandez Vial has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
These sides typically produce 0.75 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Real San Joaquin VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Real San Joaquin
(Home) 03 Oct
Real San Joaquin
0 : 2 Lota Schwager
27 Sept
Atletico Colina
1 : 0 Real San Joaquin
06 Sept
General Velasquez
1 : 1 Real San Joaquin
31 Aug
Real San Joaquin
2 : 5 Deportes Rengo
22 Aug
Provincial Ovalle
1 : 1 Real San Joaquin
Page 1 of 8
03 Oct
Real San Joaquin
0 : 2 Lota Schwager
31 Aug
Real San Joaquin
2 : 5 Deportes Rengo
10 Aug
Real San Joaquin
2 : 2 S. Morning
05 Jul
Real San Joaquin
1 : 2 Trasandino
07 Jun
Real San Joaquin
0 : 1 Concon National
Page 1 of 4
Arturo Fernandez Vial
(Away) 20 Oct
Arturo Fernandez Vial
1 : 3 Concon National
13 Oct
Deportes Rengo
3 : 2 Arturo Fernandez Vial
09 Oct
Arturo Fernandez Vial
0 : 1 San Antonio Unido
06 Oct
Arturo Fernandez Vial
1 : 2 Linares Unido
15 Sept
General Velasquez
0 : 0 Arturo Fernandez Vial
Page 1 of 6
13 Oct
Deportes Rengo
3 : 2 Arturo Fernandez Vial
15 Sept
General Velasquez
0 : 0 Arturo Fernandez Vial
31 Aug
Real San Joaquin
2 : 1 Arturo Fernandez Vial
12 Aug
Trasandino
1 : 0 Arturo Fernandez Vial
28 Jul
Provincial Ovalle
1 : 1 Arturo Fernandez Vial
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Concepcion | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53:23 | 57 |
| 2 | Melipilla | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 59:25 | 54 |
| 3 | D. Puerto Montt | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31:26 | 42 |
| 4 | Deportes Rengo | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:28 | 39 |
| 5 | San Antonio Unido | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 31:41 | 39 |
| 6 | General Velasquez | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 37 |
| 7 | Osorno | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 42:43 | 36 |
| 8 | Provincial Ovalle | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 28:31 | 33 |
| 9 | Concon National | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 33:36 | 32 |
| 10 | Linares Unido | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 31:32 | 30 |
| 11 | Trasandino | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 23:37 | 30 |
| 12 | Real San Joaquin | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 27:40 | 27 |
| 13 | Lautaro | 26 | 8 | 3 | 15 | 29:52 | 27 |
| 14 | Arturo Fernandez Vial | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 22:35 | 8 |
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