Sport Picks

Chile

Segunda Division Estadio Municipal de San Joaquín

Real San Joaquin

0 - 1

Atletico Colina

Our Tip

Match Events

25'

Hormazabal A.

32'

Navarrete D.

35'

Carreno J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Real San Joaquin and Atletico Colina finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Colina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Real San Joaquin

30%

Draws

34%

Atletico Colina

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real San Joaquin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Real San Joaquin's 1.63 goals per match outpaces what Atletico Colina have produced (1).
Win probability leans Real San Joaquin's way, sitting at 36%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Real San Joaquin Clean Sheet 20%

Atletico Colina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Real San Joaquin	Atletico Colina
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	7	7
Draws	6	5
Losses	16	18
Goals Scored	1.63	1
Goals Conceded	1	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Segunda Division

Atletico Colina vs Real San Joaquin

Possession: 53% - 56% Cards: 0 - 0

5:1

May 10, 2026 Segunda Division

Real San Joaquin vs Atletico Colina

Possession: 57% - 43% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real San Joaquin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Atletico Colina Compare

Top Goalscorer Hormazabal A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real San Joaquin 36 / 100

Atletico Colina 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Real San Joaquin Atletico Colina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Real San Joaquin scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Atletico Colina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Atletico Colina has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real San Joaquin VS Atletico Colina

1.63 Goals Scored 1

1 Goals Conceded 1.13

50% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brujas Salamanca	12	5	7	0	11:5	22
2	Concon National	12	6	3	3	16:10	21
3	Santiago City	12	5	5	2	18:19	20
4	Trasandino	12	5	3	4	19:17	18
5	Real San Joaquin	12	3	4	5	16:17	13
6	Atletico Colina	12	3	3	6	15:14	12
7	Provincial Ovalle	12	1	3	8	11:24	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Osorno	12	6	6	0	15:5	24
2	Colchagua CD	12	6	4	2	15:11	22
3	Linares Unido	12	6	1	5	16:12	19
4	General Velasquez	12	5	1	6	11:15	16
5	Lota Schwager	12	3	4	5	11:13	13
6	Deportes Rengo	12	3	2	7	10:17	11
7	S. Morning	12	2	4	6	9:14	10