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Real San Joaquin vs Deportes Rengo

Chile Chile

Segunda Division 2025 Estadio Municipal de San Joaquín
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Munoz D.
27'
Zimmermann K.
39'
Guirriman Y.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2025 game between Real San Joaquin and Deportes Rengo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real San Joaquin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Real San Joaquin
33%
Draws
27%
Deportes Rengo
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Real San Joaquin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real San Joaquin come out ahead of Deportes Rengo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Real San Joaquin's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Deportes Rengo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Real San Joaquin Clean Sheet 68%
Deportes Rengo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real San Joaquin Deportes Rengo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2025 Segunda Division
Real San Joaquin vs Deportes Rengo
2:1
Apr 7, 2025 Segunda Division
Deportes Rengo vs Real San Joaquin
1:0
Sep 7, 2024 Segunda Division
Deportes Rengo vs Real San Joaquin
1:0
Apr 28, 2024 Segunda Division
Real San Joaquin vs Deportes Rengo
0:1
Jul 23, 2023 Segunda Division
Deportes Rengo vs Real San Joaquin
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real San Joaquin Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maulen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Deportes Rengo Compare

Top Goalscorer Sepulveda Riveros F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real San Joaquin 50 / 100
Deportes Rengo 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real San Joaquin Deportes Rengo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Deportes Rengo conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Real San Joaquin scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Deportes Rengo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real San Joaquin VS Deportes Rengo
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1D. Puerto Montt24166254:1754
2Linares Unido24136539:2745
3Brujas Salamanca24116733:2739
4Osorno24116749:3436
5Provincial Ovalle24106824:2136
6Concon National241031144:3633
7General Velasquez2488829:3632
8Trasandino24911434:4228
9Real San Joaquin24641422:4322
10Santiago City24551435:5820
11Deportes Rengo24531622:5218
12Melipilla24124842:33-14
13San Antonio Unido24941148:49-27