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Real Santander vs Leones - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Villa Concha, Piedecuesta
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Santander host Leones in the Primera B. This one's hard to separate. Real Santander have averaged 0.79 scored and 1.79 conceded recently, against Leones's 0.79 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Leones slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.50 - 0.88) back Leones to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Real Santander
35%
Draws
30%
Leones
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Leones have won more games recently than Real Santander.
  • Model gives Real Santander a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Real Santander Clean Sheet 20%
Leones Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Santander Leones
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 3 6
Draws 10 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.79 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Primera B
Leones vs Real Santander
1:0
Aug 25, 2025 Primera B
Leones vs Real Santander
1:1
Mar 17, 2025 Primera B
Real Santander vs Leones
1:0
Jul 22, 2024 Primera B
Leones vs Real Santander
2:0
Feb 3, 2024 Primera B
Real Santander vs Leones
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Santander 36 / 100
Leones 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Santander Leones

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Real Santander scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Leones's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Real Santander went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Real Santander VS Leones
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Santander

(Home)
15 Oct
Envigado
1 : 1
Real Santander
09 Oct
Real Cundinamarca
0 : 1
Real Santander
03 Oct
Real Santander
1 : 3
Union Magdalena
26 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 1
Real Santander
22 Sept
Real Santander
0 : 0
Orsomarso
Page 1 of 6

Leones

(Away)
15 Oct
Leones
1 : 0
Patriotas
11 Oct
Union Magdalena
2 : 2
Leones
07 Oct
Leones
1 : 1
Barranquilla
28 Sept
Inter Palmira
1 : 0
Leones
19 Sept
Leones
1 : 2
Boca Juniors de Cali
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 13 7 4 2 17:8 25
2 Real Cundinamarca 13 7 3 3 19:11 24
3 Tigres Futbol Club 13 6 5 2 16:7 23
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 13 5 3 5 18:16 18
5 Patriotas 13 5 3 5 17:18 18
6 Atletico F.C. 13 5 3 5 16:19 18
7 Cartagena 13 4 5 4 22:17 17
8 Quindio 13 4 5 4 11:13 17
9 Real Santander 13 3 7 3 15:19 16
10 Inter Palmira 13 4 4 5 10:14 16
11 Envigado 13 2 8 3 14:13 14
12 Union Magdalena 13 3 5 5 13:15 14
13 Orsomarso 13 3 5 5 9:12 14
14 Bogota 13 3 5 5 9:13 14
15 Leones 13 3 5 5 11:19 14
16 Barranquilla 13 3 4 6 17:20 13
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)