Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Sao Luiz vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Pingo
29' Event
Davi B.
75' Event
Natan Baiano

AI Match Summary

Real Sao Luiz in this Roraimense 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Sao Luiz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Real Sao Luiz
6%
Draws
4%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Real Sao Luiz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Sao Luiz lately — more wins on the board than Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima).
  • Win probability leans Real Sao Luiz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Real Sao Luiz have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Real Sao Luiz Clean Sheet 20%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Sao Luiz Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2024 Roraimense
Real Sao Luiz vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
2:1
Apr 18, 2023 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Real Sao Luiz
0:4
Apr 13, 2022 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Real Sao Luiz
1:3
Mar 12, 2022 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Real Sao Luiz
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Sao Luiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Pingo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Natan Baiano
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Compare

Top Goalscorer Davi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sao Luiz 85 / 100
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Sao Luiz Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Real Sao Luiz scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Sao Luiz VS Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
1 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Sao Luiz

(Home)
18 May
Atl. Roraima
3 : 2
Real Sao Luiz
10 May
Real Sao Luiz
2 : 1
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
03 May
Nautico FC
1 : 0
Real Sao Luiz
01 May
Real Sao Luiz
0 : 0
Sao Raimundo RR
10 Apr
Monte Roraima
2 : 0
Real Sao Luiz
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Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)

(Away)
19 Mar
Atl. Roraima
1 : 3
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
11 Mar
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
1 : 4
Bare
04 Mar
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
0 : 2
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
28 Feb
Progresso
3 : 1
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
21 Feb
Monte Roraima
3 : 0
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Raimundo RR532019:311
2Nautico FC523011:39
3Atl. Roraima52036:156
4Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)51049:123
Promotion - Roraimense 2024 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gremio Atletico Sampaio422014:48
2Monte Roraima42116:37
3River Esporte Clube42119:67
4Real Sao Luiz41124:54
5Progresso40040:270
Promotion - Roraimense 2024 (Second stage - Play Offs)