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Real Sao Luiz vs Bare

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Capixaba L.
41'
Romarinho
41'
Romarinho

AI Match Summary

The Roraimense 2023 game between Real Sao Luiz and Bare finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Sao Luiz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Real Sao Luiz
15%
Draws
59%
Bare
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Bare carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Real Sao Luiz's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Roraimense 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Real Sao Luiz Clean Sheet 10%
Bare Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Sao Luiz Bare
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.73 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2023 Roraimense
Real Sao Luiz vs Bare
3:1
Mar 19, 2022 Roraimense
Real Sao Luiz vs Bare
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Sao Luiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Capixaba L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jairo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bare Compare

Top Goalscorer Tony Love
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sao Luiz 34 / 100
Bare 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Sao Luiz Bare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Real Sao Luiz scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Bare has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Real Sao Luiz went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Sao Luiz VS Bare
2 Goals Scored 2.38
3 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Sao Luiz

(Home)
18 May
Atl. Roraima
3 : 2
Real Sao Luiz
10 May
Real Sao Luiz
2 : 1
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
03 May
Nautico FC
1 : 0
Real Sao Luiz
01 May
Real Sao Luiz
0 : 0
Sao Raimundo RR
10 Apr
Monte Roraima
2 : 0
Real Sao Luiz
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Bare

(Away)
01 Apr
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
2 : 0
Bare
21 Mar
Sao Raimundo RR
0 : 1
Bare
17 Mar
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
1 : 0
Bare
14 Mar
Bare
4 : 0
Progresso
11 Mar
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
1 : 4
Bare
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
2 Atl. Roraima 4 2 1 1 4:4 7
3 Nautico FC 4 2 1 1 14:12 7
4 Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 4 1 1 2 6:12 4
5 Bare 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
Promotion - Roraimense 2023 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo RR 5 4 1 0 13:0 13
2 Real Sao Luiz 5 3 2 0 14:5 11
3 River Esporte Clube 5 1 0 4 5:13 3
4 Progresso 5 0 1 4 8:16 1
Promotion - Roraimense 2023 (Second stage - Play Offs)