Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real SC vs Cova De Piedade

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2021/2022 Estádio do Real SC, Queluz
Thu, Sep 23, 2021
2 - 1
06:45 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

63'
Santana C.
72' Event
Celsinho
74' Event
Borges M.

AI Match Summary

Real SC in this Taça de Portugal 2021/2022 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Real SC
35%
Draws
32%
Cova De Piedade
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Cova De Piedade have won more games recently than Real SC.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Cova De Piedade arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Real SC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Real SC Clean Sheet 20%
Cova De Piedade Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real SC Cova De Piedade
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.12 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2022 Liga 3
Real SC vs Cova De Piedade
1:0
Oct 30, 2021 Liga 3
Cova De Piedade vs Real SC
2:3
Sep 23, 2021 Taça de Portugal
Real SC vs Cova De Piedade
2:1
Apr 29, 2018 Liga Portugal 2
Real SC vs Cova De Piedade
2:3
Dec 16, 2017 Liga Portugal 2
Cova De Piedade vs Real SC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Borges M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gustavo Souza
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Cova De Piedade Compare

Top Goalscorer Celsinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real SC 36 / 100
Cova De Piedade 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real SC Cova De Piedade

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cova De Piedade Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cova De Piedade has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Real SC scored in 61% of their last 33 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Real SC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real SC VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real SC

(Home)
26 Sept
Real SC
1 : 1
Serpa
18 Sept
Real SC
1 : 4
Academica
13 Sept
Real SC
5 : 5
Lajense
06 Sept
Amora
0 : 1
Real SC
30 Aug
1º Dezembro
0 : 1
Real SC
Page 1 of 7

Cova De Piedade

(Away)
01 May
Cova De Piedade
0 : 1
Amora
23 Apr
Santarem
1 : 1
Cova De Piedade
17 Apr
Cova De Piedade
1 : 1
Caldas SC
09 Apr
Amora
1 : 2
Cova De Piedade
03 Apr
Cova De Piedade
2 : 0
Santarem
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
SC Pombal -
TBD -
Leca 1
Lusitania FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
Condeixa -
TBD -
TBD -
Esperanca de Lagos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Estrela Vendas Novas -
TBD -
Pedroso 0
Paredes 2
Ferreira de Aves -
TBD -
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
GD Fontinhas -
TBD -
TBD -
Torreense -
O Elvas CAD 0
Sacavenense 2
SC Mirandela 0
AD Fafe 1
SC Praiense 0
Sporting Ideal 1
TBD -
Valadares Gaia FC -
Canelas 2010 12
Regua 0
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Rebordelo -
TBD -
Moimenta da Beira 2
Cinfaes 3
Sao Roque -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Farense -
CF Os Belenenses -
TBD -
TBD -
Pero Pinheiro -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Oleiros -
TBD -
TBD -
Varzim -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
SC Vianense 2
Ancora Praia 1
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vizela -
Culatrense 1
Louletano 2
Gondomar 2
SC Salgueiros 3
Ferreiras 1
Penedo Gordo 0
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
Moitense -
TBD -
Anca 1
Sanjoanense 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
Moncarapachense 1
Industria 2
TBD -
Leiria -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Gloria Ribatejo 0
Sintrense 4
Macedo de Cavaleiros 1
Forjaes 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
Vila Mea 4
Amarante FC 3
TBD -
Feirense -
Vinhais -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
Pevidem -
TBD -
TBD -
Trofense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Estarreja 1
Aguias do Moradal 2
Damaiense 3
SC Lusitania 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Vila Velha 0
Vitoria Sernache 3
TBD -
Rio Ave -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boavista -
CD Rabo Peixe -
TBD -
Castro Daire 1
Trancoso 0
Olhanense 1
Juv. Evora 0
Santa Cruz Alvarenga 3
CD Gouveia 1
Uniao Lamas 1
SC Espinho 2
Valenciano 2
Merelinense 4
Abrantes Benfica 2
Caldas SC 4
Pinhalnovense 0
Amora 2
AD Limianos 3
CDC Montalegre 2
Berco 2
GD Joane 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BSAD -
Santa Marta Penaguiao 0
Camacha 3
TBD -
Ribeirao -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
Sao Joao de Ver -
TBD -
TBD -
Leixoes -
Uniao Montemor -
TBD -
TBD -
Vilaverdense FC -
Serpa -
TBD -
TBD -
Olivais e Moscavide -
Marinhense 1
UC Idanhense 2
TBD -
Covilha -
FC Felgueiras 3
Camara de Lobos 0
TBD -
Chaves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estoril -
Alverca 6
Electrico FC 0
SC Vila Real 2
Tirsense 1
Anadia -
TBD -
TBD -
GD Coruchense -
FC Alpendorada -
TBD -
TBD -
Academica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Famalicao -
Machico 0
Sao Martinho 5
SB Castelo Branco 1
Mata Mourisquense 0
Cerva 1
Maria de Fonte 3
TBD -
Penafiel -
Oliveirense 6
Guarda Desportiva 0
Arronches Benfica 4
Vasco da Gama P. Delgada 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portimonense -
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1
Imortal 2
TBD -
Vilafranquense -
Real SC 1
FC Barreirense 0
TBD -
Cova De Piedade -
Sertanense 2
GD Peniche 0
TBD -
Mafra -
Vigor Mocidade 0
Uniao de Coimbra 1
TBD -
Graciosa FC -
Santarem 0
GS Loures 1
Lusitano GC 1
Oriental Dragon 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moreirense -
Oliveira Hospital -
TBD -
TBD -
U. Madeira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
1/64-finals
SC Pombal 0
Leca 4
TBD -
Arouca -
Condeixa 4
Esperanca de Lagos 3
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Estrela Vendas Novas 0
Paredes 2
Ferreira de Aves 0
Academico Viseu 1
GD Fontinhas 0
Torreense 1
Sacavenense 0
AD Fafe 4
Sporting Ideal 0
Valadares Gaia FC 3
Canelas 2010 2
Casa Pia 4
Rebordelo 1
Cinfaes 2
Sao Roque 0
SC Farense 3
CF Os Belenenses 5
Pero Pinheiro 3
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Oleiros 0
Varzim 2
TBD -
Maritimo -
SC Vianense 0
Vitoria Setubal 2
TBD -
Vizela -
Louletano 3
SC Salgueiros 1
Ferreiras 0
Estrela da Amadora 3
Moitense 2
Anca 1
TBD -
Braga -
Industria 1
Leiria 2
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Sintrense 2
Macedo de Cavaleiros 1
TBD -
FC Porto -
Vila Mea 1
Feirense 5
Vinhais 0
Nacional 3
Pevidem 1
Trofense 3
TBD -
Benfica -
Aguias do Moradal 2
Damaiense 1
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Vitoria Sernache 1
Rio Ave 3
TBD -
Boavista -
CD Rabo Peixe 2
Castro Daire 3
Olhanense 1
Santa Cruz Alvarenga 0
SC Espinho 1
Merelinense 0
Caldas SC 1
Amora 0
AD Limianos 0
Berco 1
TBD -
BSAD -
Camacha 6
Ribeirao 1
TBD -
Tondela -
Sao Joao de Ver 1
Leixoes 3
Uniao Montemor 0
Vilaverdense FC 2
Serpa 4
Olivais e Moscavide 0
UC Idanhense 0
Covilha 2
FC Felgueiras 2
Chaves 0
TBD -
Estoril -
Alverca 3
SC Vila Real 1
Anadia 3
GD Coruchense 1
FC Alpendorada 1
Academica 2
TBD -
Famalicao -
Sao Martinho 0
SB Castelo Branco 1
Maria de Fonte 0
Penafiel 1
Oliveirense 3
Arronches Benfica 0
TBD -
Portimonense -
Imortal 0
Vilafranquense 2
Real SC 2
Cova De Piedade 1
Sertanense 0
Mafra 1
Uniao de Coimbra 2
Graciosa FC 1
GS Loures 2
Oriental Dragon 3
TBD -
Moreirense -
Oliveira Hospital 5
U. Madeira 0
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
1/32-finals
Leca 2
Arouca 1
Condeixa 0
Gil Vicente 5
Paredes 3
Academico Viseu 1
Torreense 2
AD Fafe 1
Valadares Gaia FC 1
Casa Pia 3
Cinfaes 0
SC Farense 4
CF Os Belenenses 0
Sporting CP 4
Varzim 3
Maritimo 2
Vitoria Setubal 0
Vizela 2
Louletano 1
Estrela da Amadora 2
Moitense 0
Braga 5
Leiria 0
Santa Clara 2
Sintrense 0
FC Porto 5
Feirense 3
Nacional 1
Trofense 1
Benfica 2
Aguias do Moradal 0
Pacos Ferreira 3
Rio Ave 4
Boavista 0
Castro Daire 2
Olhanense 3
SC Espinho 0
Caldas SC 1
Berco 1
BSAD 2
Camacha 1
Tondela 2
Leixoes 5
Vilaverdense FC 1
Serpa 1
Covilha 0
FC Felgueiras 0
Estoril 1
Alverca 4
Anadia 1
Academica 0
Famalicao 4
SB Castelo Branco 1
Penafiel 2
Oliveirense 3
Portimonense 4
Vilafranquense 3
Real SC 2
Mafra 3
Uniao de Coimbra 0
Oriental Dragon 2
Moreirense 3
Oliveira Hospital 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
1/16-finals
Leca 1
Gil Vicente 0
Paredes 1
Torreense 0
Casa Pia 3
SC Farense 1
Sporting CP 2
Varzim 1
Vizela 2
Estrela da Amadora 0
Braga 6
Santa Clara 0
FC Porto 5
Feirense 1
Benfica 4
Pacos Ferreira 1
Rio Ave 2
Olhanense 1
Caldas SC 3
BSAD 5
Tondela 3
Leixoes 1
Serpa 0
Estoril 5
Alverca 1
Famalicao 2
Penafiel 0
Portimonense 3
Vilafranquense 0
Mafra 1
Moreirense 3
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
1/8-finals
Leca 2
Paredes 1
Casa Pia 1
Sporting CP 2
Vizela 1
Braga 0
FC Porto 3
Benfica 0
Rio Ave 2
BSAD 1
Tondela 3
Estoril 1
Famalicao 1
Portimonense 2
Mafra 3
Moreirense 1
Quarter-finals
Leca 0
Sporting CP 4
Vizela 1
FC Porto 3
Rio Ave 0
Tondela 1
Portimonense 2
Mafra 4
Semi-finals
Sporting CP 1
FC Porto 3
Tondela 4
Mafra 1
Final
FC Porto 3
Tondela 1