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Real SC vs Cova De Piedade - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2021/2022 Estádio do Real SC, Queluz
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Kenidy W.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2021/2022 game between Real SC and Cova De Piedade finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Real SC
35%
Draws
37%
Cova De Piedade
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cova De Piedade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cova De Piedade come out ahead of Real SC on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Real SC Clean Sheet 18%
Cova De Piedade Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real SC Cova De Piedade
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.12 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2022 Liga 3
Real SC vs Cova De Piedade
1:0
Oct 30, 2021 Liga 3
Cova De Piedade vs Real SC
2:3
Sep 23, 2021 Taça de Portugal
Real SC vs Cova De Piedade
2:1
Apr 29, 2018 Liga Portugal 2
Real SC vs Cova De Piedade
2:3
Dec 16, 2017 Liga Portugal 2
Cova De Piedade vs Real SC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kenidy W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Cova De Piedade Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real SC 32 / 100
Cova De Piedade 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real SC Cova De Piedade

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cova De Piedade Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cova De Piedade's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Real SC's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Real SC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real SC VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real SC

(Home)
04 Oct
Santa Clara B
1 : 1
Real SC
26 Sept
Real SC
1 : 1
Serpa
18 Sept
Real SC
1 : 4
Academica
13 Sept
Real SC
5 : 5
Lajense
06 Sept
Amora
0 : 1
Real SC
Page 1 of 7

Cova De Piedade

(Away)
01 May
Cova De Piedade
0 : 1
Amora
23 Apr
Santarem
1 : 1
Cova De Piedade
17 Apr
Cova De Piedade
1 : 1
Caldas SC
09 Apr
Amora
1 : 2
Cova De Piedade
03 Apr
Cova De Piedade
2 : 0
Santarem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Felgueiras 22 12 3 7 25:19 39
2 Oliveirense 22 11 5 6 39:31 38
3 Braga B 22 10 7 5 37:29 37
4 Vitoria Guimaraes B 22 11 3 8 33:25 36
5 Canelas 2010 22 10 6 6 28:25 36
6 Sanjoanense 22 10 4 8 36:27 34
7 Lusitania FC 22 10 4 8 31:29 34
8 Sao Joao de Ver 22 6 11 5 27:22 29
9 Anadia 22 9 2 11 24:28 29
10 CDC Montalegre 22 6 6 10 25:33 24
11 AD Fafe 22 6 5 11 28:41 23
12 Pevidem 22 1 4 17 14:38 7
Promotion - Liga 3 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leiria 22 14 6 2 41:18 48
2 Alverca 22 13 2 7 32:24 41
3 Torreense 22 13 2 7 29:23 41
4 Vitoria Setubal 22 11 4 7 30:24 37
5 Amora 22 11 3 8 29:21 36
6 Real SC 22 7 7 8 23:26 28
7 Caldas SC 22 7 6 9 21:24 27
8 Sporting CP B 22 7 5 10 25:28 26
9 Cova De Piedade 22 6 4 12 24:35 22
10 Oliveira Hospital 22 3 11 8 24:34 20
11 Santarem 22 4 6 12 23:35 18
12 Oriental Dragon 22 2 12 8 21:30 18
Promotion - Liga 3 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)