Sport Picks

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Real SC vs Louletano

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2023/2024 Estádio do Real SC, Queluz
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Matos P.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2023/2024 game between Real SC and Louletano finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Louletano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Real SC
15%
Draws
48%
Louletano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Louletano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Louletano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Real SC Clean Sheet 11%
Louletano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real SC Louletano
Matches Played 29 38
Wins 5 20
Draws 6 11
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.79 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.49 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Real SC vs Louletano
0:1
Sep 3, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Louletano vs Real SC
3:0
Mar 6, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Real SC vs Louletano
2:2
Oct 27, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Louletano vs Real SC
0:0
Mar 10, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Real SC vs Louletano
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.74

Louletano Compare

Top Goalscorer Matos P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real SC 35 / 100
Louletano 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real SC Louletano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Louletano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Real SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Real SC's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Louletano has conceded goals in 50% of their last 38 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real SC VS Louletano
1.6 Goals Scored 1.75
1.8 Goals Conceded 1.38
40% Over 1.5 100%
40% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real SC

(Home)
18 Sept
Real SC
1 : 4
Academica
13 Sept
Real SC
5 : 5
Lajense
06 Sept
Amora
0 : 1
Real SC
30 Aug
1º Dezembro
0 : 1
Real SC
07 Apr
Oriental
1 : 0
Real SC
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Louletano

(Away)
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2
Santarem
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0
Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Castrense
0 : 1
Louletano
23 Aug
Caldas SC
2 : 4
Louletano
15 Aug
Louletano
1 : 3
CF Os Belenenses
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Setubal 26 16 5 5 45:21 53
2 Moncarapachense 26 14 7 5 29:17 49
3 Lusitano GC 26 11 13 2 28:9 46
4 Louletano 26 11 8 7 37:26 41
5 Sintrense 26 10 10 6 29:26 40
6 O Elvas CAD 26 10 9 7 34:27 39
7 FC Barreirense 26 11 6 9 31:25 39
8 Fabril do Barreiro 26 8 10 8 29:24 34
9 Serpa 26 10 4 12 27:30 34
10 Juv. Evora 26 8 8 10 26:25 32
11 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 8 6 12 26:45 30
12 Oriental 26 7 8 11 31:48 29
13 Real SC 26 3 5 18 24:46 14
14 Imortal 26 2 7 17 19:46 13
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)