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Real SC vs Novo Hamburgo

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Matheus Batista
38' Event
Clayton
77'
Couto L.

AI Match Summary

Novo Hamburgo in this Gaucho 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Novo Hamburgo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Real SC
17%
Draws
70%
Novo Hamburgo
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Novo Hamburgo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Novo Hamburgo lately — more wins on the board than Real SC.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Novo Hamburgo taking it.
  • Regular Gaucho 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Real SC Clean Sheet 10%
Novo Hamburgo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real SC Novo Hamburgo
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.5
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2025 Gaucho 2
Real SC vs Novo Hamburgo
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Novo Hamburgo Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Batista
1 Goals
Assists Leader Clayton
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real SC 14 / 100
Novo Hamburgo 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real SC Novo Hamburgo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novo Hamburgo let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Real SC's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Real SC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real SC VS Novo Hamburgo
0 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Real SC

(Home)
27 Jul
Lajeadense
0 : 0
Real SC
23 Jul
Real SC
0 : 3
Novo Hamburgo
19 Jul
Real SC
1 : 3
Passo Fundo
16 Jul
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
1 : 1
Real SC
05 Jul
Real SC
0 : 1
Gramadense
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Novo Hamburgo

(Away)
06 Mar
Novo Hamburgo
1 : 1
Sao Luiz
02 Mar
Sao Luiz
1 : 0
Novo Hamburgo
22 Feb
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 2
Novo Hamburgo
14 Feb
Novo Hamburgo
3 : 2
EC Sao Jose (PA)
07 Feb
Gremio
1 : 0
Novo Hamburgo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aimore1494116:531
2Inter Santa Maria1485116:729
3Passo Fundo1476120:1227
4Novo Hamburgo1473417:824
5Gramadense1466213:924
6Veranopolis1465317:923
7GE Bage145639:521
8Lajeadense1456313:1421
9Santa Cruz RS1446412:1118
10Brasil de Farroupilha1443715:2015
11GE Gloria142758:1313
12Esportivo Bento Goncalves1432912:2111
13Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol141766:1610
14SC Gaucho1423915:209
15Real SC1403114:233
16Futvida00000:00
Promotion - Gaucho 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2026 (Main)