Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real SC vs Serpa

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2023/2024 Estádio do Real SC, Queluz
Real SC Logo

Real SC

0 - 1
FT
Serpa Logo

Serpa

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
van der Gaag L.
Own Goal
90'
Artur Simionato
90'
Artur Simionato
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2023/2024 game between Real SC and Serpa finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serpa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Real SC
30%
Draws
37%
Serpa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Serpa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Serpa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Real SC Clean Sheet 21%
Serpa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real SC Serpa
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Real SC vs Serpa
0:1
Oct 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Serpa vs Real SC
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real SC 32 / 100
Serpa 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real SC Serpa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serpa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serpa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Real SC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Real SC's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Real SC VS Serpa
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real SC

(Home)
13 Sept
Real SC
5 : 5
Lajense
06 Sept
Amora
0 : 1
Real SC
30 Aug
1º Dezembro
0 : 1
Real SC
07 Apr
Oriental
1 : 0
Real SC
24 Mar
Real SC
0 : 2
Juv. Evora
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Serpa

(Away)
13 Sept
Lagoa
0 : 0
Serpa
06 Sept
Serpa
1 : 1
1º Dezembro
29 Aug
Serpa
2 : 0
Grandolense
16 Aug
Serpa
4 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
18 Apr
Oriental
2 : 1
Serpa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Setubal 26 16 5 5 45:21 53
2 Moncarapachense 26 14 7 5 29:17 49
3 Lusitano GC 26 11 13 2 28:9 46
4 Louletano 26 11 8 7 37:26 41
5 Sintrense 26 10 10 6 29:26 40
6 O Elvas CAD 26 10 9 7 34:27 39
7 FC Barreirense 26 11 6 9 31:25 39
8 Fabril do Barreiro 26 8 10 8 29:24 34
9 Serpa 26 10 4 12 27:30 34
10 Juv. Evora 26 8 8 10 26:25 32
11 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 8 6 12 26:45 30
12 Oriental 26 7 8 11 31:48 29
13 Real SC 26 3 5 18 24:46 14
14 Imortal 26 2 7 17 19:46 13
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)