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Real Sireti vs Iskra Ribnita Prediction & H2H Stats

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Dodon I.

AI Match Summary

Real Sireti in this Super Liga 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Real Sireti
20%
Draws
69%
Iskra Ribnita
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iskra Ribnita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Real Sireti haven't matched Iskra Ribnita's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Iskra Ribnita a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Iskra Ribnita arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Sireti, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Real Sireti Clean Sheet 10%
Iskra Ribnita Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Sireti Iskra Ribnita
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.52 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Super Liga
Real Sireti vs Iskra Ribnita
1:0
May 5, 2026 Super Liga
Iskra Ribnita vs Real Sireti
3:0
Apr 4, 2026 Super Liga
Real Sireti vs Iskra Ribnita
4:0
May 11, 2021 Liga 1
Iskra Ribnita vs Real Sireti
1:1
Oct 10, 2020 Liga 1
Real Sireti vs Iskra Ribnita
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Sireti Compare

Top Goalscorer Dodon I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Iskra Ribnita Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sireti 10 / 100
Iskra Ribnita 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Sireti Iskra Ribnita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iskra Ribnita Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Real Sireti's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Iskra Ribnita conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Real Sireti went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Sireti VS Iskra Ribnita
0.63 Goals Scored 3
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Sireti

(Home)
20 Sept
Real Sireti
1 : 2
Milsami
12 Sept
Petrocub Hincesti
2 : 1
Real Sireti
06 Sept
Real Sireti
0 : 2
Zimbru Chisinau
29 Aug
Politehnica UTM
0 : 0
Real Sireti
23 Aug
Real Sireti
0 : 0
Dacia Buiucani
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Iskra Ribnita

(Away)
18 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
2 : 0
Zimbru Chisinau 2
11 Sept
Vulturii Cutezatori
2 : 1
Iskra Ribnita
05 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
1 : 0
Univer Comrat
02 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
4 : 1
Tarigrad
28 Aug
FCM Ungheni
2 : 3
Iskra Ribnita
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Real Sireti -
TBD -
Univer Comrat 2
Oguzsport 3
Iskra Ribnita -
TBD -
TBD -
Stauceni -
Sparta Selemet -
TBD -
TBD -
Falesti -
Floresti -
TBD -
FCM Ungheni 4
Victoria 2
Quarter-finals
Real Sireti 5
Oguzsport 2
Iskra Ribnita 3
Stauceni 1
Sparta Selemet 3
Falesti 0
Floresti 5
FCM Ungheni 4
Semi-finals
Real Sireti 1
Iskra Ribnita 0
Sparta Selemet 1
Floresti 4
Final
Real Sireti 1
Floresti 0