Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Sireti vs Politehnica UTM

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga Stadionul Municipal
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Katz T.
46'
Sub
Rosca B. In: Blajchin M.
Out: Rosca B.
56'
Sub
Lipcan N. In: Tipac M.
Out: Lipcan N.

AI Match Summary

Politehnica UTM in this Super Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Politehnica UTM.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Real Sireti
44%
Draws
20%
Politehnica UTM
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Sireti lately — more wins on the board than Politehnica UTM.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Super Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Politehnica UTM have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Real Sireti Clean Sheet 15%
Politehnica UTM Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Sireti Politehnica UTM
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 19 11
Draws 2 5
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Super Liga
Real Sireti vs Politehnica UTM
1:2
Apr 24, 2026 Super Liga
Politehnica UTM vs Real Sireti
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 Super Liga
Real Sireti vs Politehnica UTM
1:1
Oct 29, 2025 Moldovan Cup
Politehnica UTM vs Real Sireti
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Sireti Compare

Top Goalscorer Borovschi E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Politehnica UTM Compare

Top Goalscorer Gandi S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sireti 35 / 100
Politehnica UTM 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Sireti Politehnica UTM

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Sireti found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Politehnica UTM conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Real Sireti stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Sireti VS Politehnica UTM
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Petrocub Hincesti22007:16
2Sheriff Tiraspol21103:04
3Zimbru Chisinau21103:04
4Dacia Buiucani21014:23
5CSF Balti21013:33
6Politehnica UTM20110:31
7Milsami20110:51
8Real Sireti20020:60