Sport Picks

Moldova

Super Liga 2025/2026

Politehnica UTM

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Real Sireti play Politehnica UTM in the Super Liga 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Real Sireti averaged 2.66 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Politehnica UTM averaged 1.62 goals scored and 2.14 conceded. In past meetings, Real Sireti won 0, Politehnica UTM won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 24, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Real Sireti and 1.75 for Politehnica UTM. This points to a Real Sireti double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Real Sireti

18%

Draws

32%

Politehnica UTM

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Real Sireti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Real Sireti picked up more points recently compared to Politehnica UTM.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 90%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%

Real Sireti Clean Sheet 12%

Politehnica UTM Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 81%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Real Sireti	Politehnica UTM
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	20	11
Draws	2	5
Losses	7	13
Goals Scored	2.66	1.62
Goals Conceded	1.38	2.14
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Super Liga

Politehnica UTM vs Real Sireti

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

3:1

Mar 14, 2026 Super Liga

Real Sireti vs Politehnica UTM

Possession: 55% - 47% Cards: 4 - 3

1:1

Oct 29, 2025 Moldovan Cup

Politehnica UTM vs Real Sireti

Possession: 46% - 59% Cards: 1 - 0

6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Sireti Compare

Top Goalscorer Molla O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Politehnica UTM Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sireti 47 / 100

Politehnica UTM 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Real Sireti Politehnica UTM

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Real Sireti or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Real Sireti attacking → ← attacking Politehnica UTM

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Sireti scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Politehnica UTM let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Real Sireti went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Politehnica UTM lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 38

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Politehnica UTM	10	6	4	0	20:7	22
2	Real Sireti	10	5	2	3	16:12	17
3	Sparta Selemet	10	4	3	3	15:14	15
4	Floresti	10	2	4	4	9:12	10
5	Iskra Ribnita	10	2	4	4	9:13	10
6	Stauceni	10	0	5	5	9:20	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Politehnica UTM	10	6	4	0	20:7	22
2	Real Sireti	10	5	2	3	16:12	17
3	Sparta Selemet	10	4	3	3	15:14	15
4	Floresti	10	2	4	4	9:12	10
5	Iskra Ribnita	10	2	4	4	9:13	10
6	Stauceni	10	0	5	5	9:20	5