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Stadium Background

Real Sireti vs Sheriff Tiraspol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga Nisporeni stadium, Nisporeni
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
42' Event
Asprilla Moreno J.
46'
Sub
Pineda J. In: Kalabatama K.
Out: Pineda J.

AI Match Summary

The Super Liga game between Real Sireti and Sheriff Tiraspol finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Real Sireti
30%
Draws
58%
Sheriff Tiraspol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Sheriff Tiraspol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sheriff Tiraspol's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Real Sireti Clean Sheet 16%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Sireti Sheriff Tiraspol
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.52 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.21 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Super Liga
Real Sireti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:1
Jun 28, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Real Sireti
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Sireti Compare

Top Goalscorer Dosca D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sheriff Tiraspol Compare

Top Goalscorer Asprilla Moreno J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sireti 10 / 100
Sheriff Tiraspol 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Sireti Sheriff Tiraspol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheriff Tiraspol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Sireti scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Sheriff Tiraspol conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Real Sireti stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Sireti VS Sheriff Tiraspol
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Sireti

(Home)
20 Sept
Real Sireti
1 : 2
Milsami
12 Sept
Petrocub Hincesti
2 : 1
Real Sireti
06 Sept
Real Sireti
0 : 2
Zimbru Chisinau
29 Aug
Politehnica UTM
0 : 0
Real Sireti
23 Aug
Real Sireti
0 : 0
Dacia Buiucani
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Sheriff Tiraspol

(Away)
20 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
7 : 0
CSF Balti
13 Sept
Milsami
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
05 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 2
Petrocub Hincesti
29 Aug
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0
Politehnica UTM
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 13 8 4 1 32:10 28
2 Zimbru Chisinau 13 8 2 3 27:12 26
3 Petrocub Hincesti 13 7 3 3 24:13 24
4 Dacia Buiucani 13 6 2 5 17:16 20
5 Milsami 13 4 5 4 13:17 17
6 Politehnica UTM 13 4 3 6 18:19 15
7 Real Sireti 13 0 7 6 8:19 7
8 CSF Balti 13 1 2 10 9:42 5
Promotion - Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super Liga (Relegation Group)