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Real Sociedad B vs Leonesa Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 2025/2026 Anoeta, San Sebastian
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Match Events

54'
Gorosabel G.
56' Event
Lucas Ribeiro
Assist: Fernandez J.
59'
Sub
Gorosabel G. In: Rodriguez M.
Out: Gorosabel G.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga2 2025/2026 game between Real Sociedad B and Leonesa finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Real Sociedad B
30%
Draws
47%
Leonesa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leonesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Leonesa haven't matched Real Sociedad B's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Leonesa a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Real Sociedad B Clean Sheet 16%
Leonesa Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Sociedad B Leonesa
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 5
Draws 6 10
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 LaLiga2
Real Sociedad B vs Leonesa
1:1
Jan 3, 2026 LaLiga2
Leonesa vs Real Sociedad B
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Real Sociedad B vs Leonesa
2:2
Sep 6, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Leonesa vs Real Sociedad B
1:1
Apr 13, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Leonesa vs Real Sociedad B
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Sociedad B Compare

Top Goalscorer Mariezkurrena A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Leonesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Ribeiro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sociedad B 23 / 100
Leonesa 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Sociedad B Leonesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leonesa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Leonesa conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Real Sociedad B scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Real Sociedad B has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Sociedad B VS Leonesa
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Sociedad B

(Home)
26 Sept
AD Ceuta
3 : 1
Real Sociedad B
19 Sept
Real Sociedad B
0 : 1
Mallorca
15 Sept
Aston Villa U21
5 : 1
Real Sociedad B
12 Sept
FC Andorra
1 : 3
Real Sociedad B
05 Sept
Real Sociedad B
1 : 1
Tenerife
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Leonesa

(Away)
26 Sept
Leonesa
2 : 2
CD Coria
20 Sept
CD Extremadura
0 : 1
Leonesa
13 Sept
Cacereno
1 : 0
Leonesa
06 Sept
Leonesa
1 : 0
AD Merida
30 Aug
Barakaldo
0 : 0
Leonesa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Santander 42 25 7 10 90:61 82
2 Dep. A Coruna 42 22 11 9 65:44 77
3 Almeria 42 22 8 12 81:63 74
4 Malaga 42 21 10 11 75:52 73
5 Las Palmas 42 20 13 9 57:40 73
6 Castellon 42 20 12 10 70:51 72
7 Burgos CF 42 20 12 10 48:33 72
8 Eibar 42 19 10 13 52:40 67
9 Cordoba 42 17 10 15 57:61 61
10 Gijon 42 18 7 17 60:54 61
11 AD Ceuta 42 17 10 15 51:63 61
12 Albacete 42 16 11 15 56:55 59
13 FC Andorra 42 16 10 16 62:54 58
14 Granada CF 42 12 12 18 50:56 48
15 Real Sociedad B 42 12 11 19 52:61 47
16 Leganes 42 11 13 18 43:51 46
17 Valladolid 42 12 10 20 44:57 46
18 Cadiz 42 11 10 21 41:61 43
19 Mirandes 42 10 10 22 47:69 40
20 Huesca 42 9 11 22 41:63 38
21 Leonesa 42 9 10 23 39:68 37
22 Zaragoza 42 8 12 22 35:59 36
Promotion - LaLiga (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)