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Real Sociedad B vs Osasuna B

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Club Friendly 2025
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AI Match Summary

Real Sociedad B play Osasuna B in the Club Friendly 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Real Sociedad B averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Osasuna B averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Real Sociedad B won 3, Osasuna B won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 26, 2025 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.44 for Real Sociedad B and 1.19 for Osasuna B. This points to a Real Sociedad B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Real Sociedad B
28%
Draws
27%
Osasuna B
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Real Sociedad B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Real Sociedad B picked up more points recently compared to Osasuna B.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.44 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Real Sociedad B Clean Sheet 20%
Osasuna B Clean Sheet 23%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Sociedad B Osasuna B
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.18 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Real Sociedad B vs Osasuna B
4:1
Jan 24, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Osasuna B vs Real Sociedad B
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Real Sociedad B vs Osasuna B
3:1
May 25, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Osasuna B vs Real Sociedad B
1:2
Jan 14, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Real Sociedad B vs Osasuna B
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Sociedad B Compare

Top Goalscorer Lebarbier A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carrera G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Osasuna B Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sociedad B 45 / 100
Osasuna B 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Sociedad B Osasuna B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Real Sociedad B or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Real Sociedad B attacking → ← attacking Osasuna B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Sociedad B scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Osasuna B let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Real Sociedad B went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Osasuna B lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 30
0.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63