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Real Sociedad C vs Alaves C - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
11:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Sociedad C host Alaves C in the Tercera RFEF - Group 4. Little to choose between these two on current form. Alaves C have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Real Sociedad C have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.63. Head-to-head, Real Sociedad C have won 1 to Alaves C's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.50, favoring Real Sociedad C. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Real Sociedad C
15%
Draws
40%
Alaves C
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Sociedad C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Alaves C haven't matched Real Sociedad C's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Real Sociedad C Clean Sheet 16%
Alaves C Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Sociedad C Alaves C
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.63 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves C vs Real Sociedad C
3:0
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Real Sociedad C vs Alaves C
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sociedad C 31 / 100
Alaves C 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Sociedad C Alaves C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaves C Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Sociedad C scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Alaves C's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Real Sociedad C remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Sociedad C VS Alaves C
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Sociedad C

(Home)
10 Oct
Real Sociedad C
1 : 0
Amurrio Club
04 Oct
Eibar C
2 : 3
Real Sociedad C
27 Sept
Real Sociedad C
3 : 3
Real Union B
19 Sept
Pasaia
3 : 2
Real Sociedad C
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
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Alaves C

(Away)
10 Oct
SD Erandio
0 : 2
Alaves C
04 Oct
Alaves C
5 : 1
Sodupe
26 Sept
Alaves C
1 : 2
Touring KE
19 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
Alaves C
12 Sept
Alaves C
3 : 0
Amurrio Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 7 5 1 1 12:8 16
2 Leioa 6 3 3 0 16:6 12
3 Derio 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
4 UD Aretxabaleta 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
5 Real Sociedad C 7 3 2 2 11:10 11
6 Alaves C 6 3 1 2 13:6 10
7 Pasaia 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
8 San Ignacio 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
9 Touring KE 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
10 Sodupe 6 2 2 2 5:9 8
11 SCD Durango 6 1 4 1 9:9 7
12 Beasain 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Lagun Onak 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
14 SD Erandio 6 2 0 4 6:8 6
15 Santurtzi 6 2 0 4 3:7 6
16 Eibar C 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
17 Real Union B 6 1 2 3 7:12 5
18 Amurrio Club 6 0 1 5 1:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)