Sport Picks
Real Sociedad C vs Aurrera de Vitoria Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 
Match Events
7'
7'
Martinez Arribas J.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Real Sociedad C and Aurrera de Vitoria finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aurrera de Vitoria.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aurrera de Vitoria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Real Sociedad C's 1.63 goals per match outpaces what Aurrera de Vitoria have produced (1.39).
- 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Real Sociedad C Clean Sheet 20%
Aurrera de Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Sociedad C | Aurrera de Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Real Sociedad C vs Aurrera de Vitoria
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs Real Sociedad C
0:3
Mar 10, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Real Sociedad C vs Aurrera de Vitoria
1:1
Oct 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs Real Sociedad C
1:2
Feb 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs Real Sociedad C
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Sociedad C Compare
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Aurrera de Vitoria Compare
Top Goalscorer Martinez Arribas J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Sociedad C 36 / 100
Aurrera de Vitoria 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Sociedad C Aurrera de Vitoria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aurrera de Vitoria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Sociedad C scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Aurrera de Vitoria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Real Sociedad C has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Real Sociedad C VS Aurrera de Vitoria
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Sociedad C
(Home) 27 Sept
Real Sociedad C
3 : 3 Real Union B
19 Sept
Pasaia
3 : 2 Real Sociedad C
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0 Lagun Onak
05 Sept
Derio
0 : 0 Real Sociedad C
15 Aug
Real Sociedad C
3 : 0 Subiza
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Real Sociedad C
3 : 3 Real Union B
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0 Lagun Onak
15 Aug
Real Sociedad C
3 : 0 Subiza
03 May
Real Sociedad C
4 : 0 SCD Durango
16 Apr
Real Sociedad C
3 : 1 Zamudio
Page 1 of 3
Aurrera de Vitoria
(Away) 26 Sept
Sodupe
0 : 3 Aurrera de Vitoria
19 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1 Alaves C
12 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
1 : 1 Touring KE
05 Sept
Amurrio Club
1 : 2 Aurrera de Vitoria
29 Aug
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 0 Amorebieta
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Sodupe
0 : 3 Aurrera de Vitoria
05 Sept
Amurrio Club
1 : 2 Aurrera de Vitoria
03 May
Portugalete
1 : 2 Aurrera de Vitoria
18 Apr
Derio
1 : 1 Aurrera de Vitoria
01 Apr
Alaves C
1 : 1 Aurrera de Vitoria
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugalete | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 70:29 | 78 |
| 2 | Leioa | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 50:34 | 61 |
| 3 | Derio | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 54:40 | 58 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 54:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Touring KE | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 47:35 | 57 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad C | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 48:39 | 55 |
| 7 | San Ignacio | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 37:27 | 55 |
| 8 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 42:41 | 54 |
| 9 | Alaves C | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 57:40 | 53 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 56:61 | 45 |
| 11 | SCD Durango | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 35:36 | 44 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 32:45 | 39 |
| 13 | Eibar C | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 44:53 | 36 |
| 14 | Pasaia | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 26:46 | 36 |
| 15 | Anorga | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 37:59 | 34 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 42:59 | 33 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 30:60 | 30 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26:49 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
