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Real Sociedad C vs Bermeo

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Sociedad C in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Sociedad C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Real Sociedad C
35%
Draws
15%
Bermeo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real Sociedad C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Bermeo haven't matched Real Sociedad C's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Real Sociedad C a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Real Sociedad C Clean Sheet 17%
Bermeo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Sociedad C Bermeo
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 22 2
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.77 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Real Sociedad C vs Bermeo
4:0
Dec 23, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Real Sociedad C
2:0
Mar 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Real Sociedad C
1:1
Oct 15, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Real Sociedad C vs Bermeo
1:0
Mar 18, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Real Sociedad C vs Bermeo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sociedad C 84 / 100
Bermeo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Sociedad C Bermeo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Sociedad C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bermeo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Real Sociedad C scored in 77% of their last 39 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Real Sociedad C has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Sociedad C VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Sociedad C

(Home)
19 Sept
Pasaia
3 : 2
Real Sociedad C
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
05 Sept
Derio
0 : 0
Real Sociedad C
15 Aug
Real Sociedad C
3 : 0
Subiza
09 May
Anorga
1 : 2
Real Sociedad C
Page 1 of 8

Bermeo

(Away)
18 May
Bermeo
1 : 2
Alaves B
11 May
Real Sociedad C
4 : 0
Bermeo
04 May
Bermeo
1 : 1
Balmaseda
27 Apr
Zamudio
0 : 0
Bermeo
18 Apr
Bermeo
3 : 3
SD San Pedro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 38 26 8 4 65:21 86
2 Sestao 38 22 12 4 74:36 78
3 Alaves B 38 18 12 8 69:44 66
4 San Ignacio 38 17 12 9 66:36 63
5 Balmaseda 38 17 12 9 50:36 63
6 Basconia 38 16 12 10 64:52 60
7 Real Sociedad C 38 16 11 11 71:48 59
8 Somorrostro 38 14 15 9 59:43 57
9 Sodupe 38 11 17 10 49:45 50
10 Pasaia 38 12 13 13 33:46 49
11 Santutxu FC 38 12 12 14 38:48 48
12 Lagun Onak 38 12 12 14 46:46 48
13 Beasain 38 9 19 10 46:40 46
14 Santurtzi 38 10 15 13 33:42 45
15 SD Deusto 38 10 13 15 41:55 43
16 Zamudio 38 10 9 19 42:66 39
17 Amurrio Club 38 8 10 20 30:64 34
18 Ordizia 38 5 16 17 40:72 31
19 SD San Pedro 38 6 11 21 40:69 29
20 Bermeo 38 2 13 23 24:71 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)