Sport Picks
Real Sociedad vs Atl. Madrid - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
LaLiga Anoeta, San Sebastian 
Match Events
18'
18'
Herrera Y.
59'
59'
Sub
Baena A. In: Cardoso J.
Out: Baena A.
60'
60'
Sub
Llorente M. In: David J.
Out: Llorente M.
AI Match Summary
Atl. Madrid in this LaLiga matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atl. Madrid.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Madrid
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Atl. Madrid lately — more wins on the board than Real Sociedad.
- Atl. Madrid are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Real Sociedad Clean Sheet 10%
Atl. Madrid Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Sociedad | Atl. Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Atl. Madrid
0:3
Apr 18, 2026 Copa del Rey
Atl. Madrid vs Real Sociedad
2:3
Mar 7, 2026 LaLiga
Atl. Madrid vs Real Sociedad
3:2
Jan 4, 2026 LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Atl. Madrid
1:1
May 10, 2025 LaLiga
Atl. Madrid vs Real Sociedad
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Sociedad Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Atl. Madrid Compare
Top Goalscorer David J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Simeone G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Sociedad 22 / 100
Atl. Madrid 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Sociedad Atl. Madrid
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atl. Madrid Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Real Sociedad scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Atl. Madrid let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
Real Sociedad has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Real Sociedad VS Atl. Madrid
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Sociedad
(Home) 02 Oct
Real Sociedad
0 : 1 Ath Bilbao
20 Sept
Valencia
2 : 3 Real Sociedad
17 Sept
Real Sociedad
1 : 2 Bournemouth
13 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 3 Atl. Madrid
07 Sept
Elche
2 : 3 Real Sociedad
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Real Sociedad
0 : 1 Ath Bilbao
17 Sept
Real Sociedad
1 : 2 Bournemouth
13 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 3 Atl. Madrid
03 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 0 Celta Vigo
29 Aug
Real Sociedad
2 : 1 Espanyol
Page 1 of 3
Atl. Madrid
(Away) 10 Oct
Alaves
1 : 2 Atl. Madrid
20 Sept
Atl. Madrid
2 : 1 Real Madrid
16 Sept
Atl. Madrid
4 : 0 Osasuna
13 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 3 Atl. Madrid
09 Sept
Liverpool
2 : 1 Atl. Madrid
Page 1 of 7
10 Oct
Alaves
1 : 2 Atl. Madrid
13 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 3 Atl. Madrid
09 Sept
Liverpool
2 : 1 Atl. Madrid
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0 Atl. Madrid
29 Aug
Sevilla
1 : 3 Atl. Madrid
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18:8 | 15 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 13 |
| 6 | Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Dep. A Coruna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 8 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 8 |
| 12 | Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 8 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 14 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | 8 |
| 15 | Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 17 | Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 5 |
| 18 | Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:17 | 5 |
| 19 | Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 20 | Valencia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | 4 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
