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Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga Anoeta, San Sebastian
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Herrera Y.
52'
Lago Y.
57'
Alonso M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this LaLiga matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Real Sociedad
30%
Draws
35%
Celta Vigo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Real Sociedad average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Celta Vigo's 1.36.
  • Model gives Celta Vigo a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Real Sociedad Clean Sheet 16%
Celta Vigo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Sociedad Celta Vigo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo
0:0
Jan 25, 2026 LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo
3:1
Oct 19, 2025 LaLiga
Celta Vigo vs Real Sociedad
1:1
May 13, 2025 LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo
0:1
Dec 21, 2024 LaLiga
Celta Vigo vs Real Sociedad
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sociedad 15 / 100
Celta Vigo 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Sociedad Celta Vigo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celta Vigo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Sociedad scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Celta Vigo let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Real Sociedad has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Sociedad VS Celta Vigo
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Sociedad

(Home)
02 Oct
Real Sociedad
0 : 1
Ath Bilbao
20 Sept
Valencia
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
17 Sept
Real Sociedad
1 : 2
Bournemouth
13 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 3
Atl. Madrid
07 Sept
Elche
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
Page 1 of 6

Celta Vigo

(Away)
19 Sept
Celta Vigo
5 : 0
Racing Santander
16 Sept
Omonia
1 : 0
Celta Vigo
13 Sept
Celta Vigo
1 : 1
Malaga
07 Sept
Getafe
1 : 1
Celta Vigo
03 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 0
Celta Vigo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 7 7 0 0 31:7 21
2 Atl. Madrid 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
3 Betis 7 5 1 1 9:7 16
4 Real Madrid 7 5 0 2 18:8 15
5 Sevilla 7 4 1 2 10:9 13
6 Alaves 7 3 2 2 11:6 11
7 Dep. A Coruna 7 2 4 1 10:8 10
8 Real Sociedad 7 3 1 3 9:13 10
9 Villarreal 7 2 2 3 13:12 8
10 Ath Bilbao 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 Espanyol 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
12 Getafe 7 2 2 3 4:7 8
13 Rayo Vallecano 7 2 2 3 11:16 8
14 Osasuna 7 2 2 3 6:13 8
15 Celta Vigo 7 1 4 2 8:6 7
16 Racing Santander 7 2 1 4 11:21 7
17 Levante 6 1 2 3 8:12 5
18 Elche 7 1 2 4 11:17 5
19 Malaga 8 0 4 4 4:13 4
20 Valencia 7 1 1 5 4:13 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)