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Real Sociedad vs Dep. A Coruna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga Anoeta, San Sebastian
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Sociedad host Dep. A Coruna in the LaLiga. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Real Sociedad at 1.62 goals for, 1.74 against; Dep. A Coruna at 1.41 for, 0.94 against. Past meetings favor Real Sociedad slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 2, 2018, ending 5:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.75, favoring Dep. A Coruna. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Real Sociedad
30%
Draws
23%
Dep. A Coruna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Sociedad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Dep. A Coruna have won more games recently than Real Sociedad.
  • Real Sociedad are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Real Sociedad Clean Sheet 12%
Dep. A Coruna Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Sociedad Dep. A Coruna
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 12 15
Draws 8 12
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.62 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.74 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2018 LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Dep. A Coruna
5:0
Sep 10, 2017 LaLiga
Dep. A Coruna vs Real Sociedad
2:4
Apr 23, 2017 LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Dep. A Coruna
1:0
Dec 5, 2016 LaLiga
Dep. A Coruna vs Real Sociedad
5:1
Jan 16, 2016 LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Dep. A Coruna
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sociedad 40 / 100
Dep. A Coruna 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Sociedad Dep. A Coruna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Real Sociedad's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: Dep. A Coruna conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Real Sociedad stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Sociedad VS Dep. A Coruna
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Sociedad

(Home)
02 Oct
Real Sociedad
0 : 1
Ath Bilbao
20 Sept
Valencia
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
17 Sept
Real Sociedad
1 : 2
Bournemouth
13 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 3
Atl. Madrid
07 Sept
Elche
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
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Dep. A Coruna

(Away)
02 Oct
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 3
FC Porto
25 Sept
Penafiel
2 : 2
Dep. A Coruna
20 Sept
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 1
Betis
16 Sept
Dep. A Coruna
0 : 1
Sevilla
13 Sept
Getafe
1 : 1
Dep. A Coruna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 7 7 0 0 31:7 21
2 Atl. Madrid 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
3 Betis 7 5 1 1 9:7 16
4 Real Madrid 7 5 0 2 18:8 15
5 Sevilla 7 4 1 2 10:9 13
6 Alaves 7 3 2 2 11:6 11
7 Dep. A Coruna 7 2 4 1 10:8 10
8 Real Sociedad 7 3 1 3 9:13 10
9 Villarreal 7 2 2 3 13:12 8
10 Ath Bilbao 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 Getafe 7 2 2 3 4:7 8
12 Rayo Vallecano 7 2 2 3 11:16 8
13 Osasuna 7 2 2 3 6:13 8
14 Celta Vigo 7 1 4 2 8:6 7
15 Espanyol 7 2 1 4 10:10 7
16 Racing Santander 7 2 1 4 11:21 7
17 Levante 6 1 2 3 8:12 5
18 Elche 7 1 2 4 11:17 5
19 Valencia 7 1 1 5 4:13 4
20 Malaga 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)