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Real Sociedad vs Espanyol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga Anoeta, San Sebastian
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Barrenetxea A.
Assist: Oyarzabal M.
17'
Turrientes B.
21'
Gonzalez U.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga game between Real Sociedad and Espanyol finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Sociedad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Real Sociedad
20%
Draws
36%
Espanyol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Sociedad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Real Sociedad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Real Sociedad Clean Sheet 13%
Espanyol Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Sociedad Espanyol
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 7 11
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Espanyol
2:1
May 23, 2026 LaLiga
Espanyol vs Real Sociedad
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Espanyol
2:2
Feb 9, 2025 LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Espanyol
2:1
Aug 24, 2024 LaLiga
Espanyol vs Real Sociedad
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Sociedad Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrenetxea A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oskarsson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Espanyol Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sociedad 35 / 100
Espanyol 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Sociedad Espanyol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Espanyol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Sociedad's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Espanyol let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Real Sociedad remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Sociedad VS Espanyol
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Sociedad

(Home)
02 Oct
Real Sociedad
0 : 1
Ath Bilbao
20 Sept
Valencia
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
17 Sept
Real Sociedad
1 : 2
Bournemouth
13 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 3
Atl. Madrid
07 Sept
Elche
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
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Espanyol

(Away)
09 Oct
Malaga
1 : 1
Espanyol
18 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 3
Elche
15 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1
Espanyol
12 Sept
Osasuna
0 : 2
Espanyol
06 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 1
Sevilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 7 7 0 0 31:7 21
2 Atl. Madrid 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
3 Betis 7 5 1 1 9:7 16
4 Real Madrid 7 5 0 2 18:8 15
5 Sevilla 7 4 1 2 10:9 13
6 Alaves 7 3 2 2 11:6 11
7 Dep. A Coruna 7 2 4 1 10:8 10
8 Real Sociedad 7 3 1 3 9:13 10
9 Villarreal 7 2 2 3 13:12 8
10 Ath Bilbao 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 Espanyol 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
12 Getafe 7 2 2 3 4:7 8
13 Rayo Vallecano 7 2 2 3 11:16 8
14 Osasuna 7 2 2 3 6:13 8
15 Celta Vigo 7 1 4 2 8:6 7
16 Racing Santander 7 2 1 4 11:21 7
17 Levante 6 1 2 3 8:12 5
18 Elche 7 1 2 4 11:17 5
19 Malaga 8 0 4 4 4:13 4
20 Valencia 7 1 1 5 4:13 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)