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Real Sociedad W vs Logrono Dux W

World World

Club Friendly Women 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Sociedad W play Logrono Dux W in the Club Friendly Women 2025. Real Sociedad W are favorites here. Recently, Real Sociedad W averaged 2.03 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. Logrono Dux W averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Real Sociedad W won 4, Logrono Dux W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 29, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Real Sociedad W and 1.06 for Logrono Dux W. This points to a Real Sociedad W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Real Sociedad W
21%
Draws
15%
Logrono Dux W
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Real Sociedad W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Real Sociedad W picked up more points recently compared to Logrono Dux W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Real Sociedad W Clean Sheet 22%
Logrono Dux W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Sociedad W Logrono Dux W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 4
Draws 5 8
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 2.03 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Liga F Women
Real Sociedad W vs Logrono Dux W
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 Liga F Women
Logrono Dux W vs Real Sociedad W
0:1
Aug 1, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Real Sociedad W vs Logrono Dux W
4:0
Apr 17, 2021 Liga F Women
Real Sociedad W vs Logrono Dux W
3:1
Nov 11, 2020 Liga F Women
Logrono Dux W vs Real Sociedad W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Sociedad W Compare

Top Goalscorer Eguiguren I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Uria Gabilondo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Logrono Dux W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Sociedad W 62 / 100
Logrono Dux W 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Sociedad W Logrono Dux W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Sociedad W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Real Sociedad W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.6%
1.79
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Real Sociedad W attacking → ← attacking Logrono Dux W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Sociedad W scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Logrono Dux W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Real Sociedad W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Logrono Dux W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

68 Points in last 5 20
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63