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Real Tartane vs Belimois

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Tartane play Belimois in the Trophee Gerard Janvion 2014/2015. Real Tartane are favorites here. Recently, Real Tartane averaged 1.04 goals scored and 3.35 conceded. Belimois averaged 0.73 goals scored and 5.13 conceded. In past meetings, Real Tartane won 2, Belimois won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 18, 2015 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.63 for Real Tartane and 1.94 for Belimois. This points to a Real Tartane double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Real Tartane
15%
Draws
23%
Belimois
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Tartane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Real Tartane picked up more points recently compared to Belimois.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.63 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Real Tartane Clean Sheet 10%
Belimois Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Tartane Belimois
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 4 3
Draws 2 0
Losses 20 27
Goals Scored 1.04 0.73
Goals Conceded 3.35 5.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 3.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2015 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Belimois vs Real Tartane
0:2
Dec 13, 2014 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Real Tartane vs Belimois
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Tartane 58 / 100
Belimois 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Tartane Belimois

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Tartane Win (1)
Secondary Pick Real Tartane & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.30
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Real Tartane attacking → ← attacking Belimois

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Tartane scored in 62% of their last 26 games.

Belimois let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Real Tartane went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Belimois lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

14 Points in last 5 9
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
3.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.88