Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Union Tenerife vs Union Sur Yaiza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Union Tenerife host Union Sur Yaiza in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Real Union Tenerife at 1.11 goals for, 0.89 against; Union Sur Yaiza at 0.79 for, 1.28 against. Head-to-head, Real Union Tenerife have won 1 to Union Sur Yaiza's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (0.75 xG vs 0.94) point toward Real Union Tenerife. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Real Union Tenerife
15%
Draws
21%
Union Sur Yaiza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Union Tenerife

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Real Union Tenerife have won more games recently than Union Sur Yaiza.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Real Union Tenerife taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Real Union Tenerife Clean Sheet 20%
Union Sur Yaiza Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Union Tenerife Union Sur Yaiza
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.11 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Real Union Tenerife vs Union Sur Yaiza
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs Real Union Tenerife
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Union Tenerife 58 / 100
Union Sur Yaiza 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Union Tenerife Union Sur Yaiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Union Tenerife Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Union Tenerife's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Union Sur Yaiza let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Real Union Tenerife remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Union Tenerife VS Union Sur Yaiza
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Union Tenerife

(Home)
02 Oct
Real Union Tenerife
1 : 0
CD Laguna
26 Sept
Real Union Tenerife
2 : 0
Panaderia
18 Sept
CD Marino
3 : 1
Real Union Tenerife
12 Sept
Real Union Tenerife
1 : 0
Los Llanos
26 Aug
Real Union Tenerife
1 : 0
Tenerife B
Page 1 of 6

Union Sur Yaiza

(Away)
03 Oct
Los Llanos
1 : 0
Union Sur Yaiza
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0
UD San Fernando
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2
Union Sur Yaiza
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1
San Bartolome
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0
Union Sur Yaiza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD San Fernando 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
2 Real Union Tenerife 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
3 Mensajero 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
4 San Bartolome 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
5 CD Marino 4 2 1 1 12:6 7
6 Las Palmas C 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
7 San Miguel 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
8 Panaderia 4 2 1 1 10:8 7
9 Los Llanos 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
10 Lanzarote 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
11 Villa Santa Brigida 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
12 Tenerife C 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
13 Estrella 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
14 Anaza 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
15 Union Sur Yaiza 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
16 CD Laguna 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
17 Villaverde Norte 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
18 UD Playas de Sotavento 4 0 1 3 3:15 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)