Sport Picks
Real Union vs Alfaro
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Stadium Gal, Irun 
Match Events
42'
42'
Soroeta J.
67'
67'
Zaldua X.
90'
90'
Louakima C.
AI Match Summary
Real Union in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Union.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Union
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Real Union lately — more wins on the board than Alfaro.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Real Union taking it.
- Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Real Union have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Real Union Clean Sheet 68%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Union | Alfaro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2.41 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 1, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Real Union vs Alfaro
2:0
Dec 7, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs Real Union
1:2
Feb 11, 2007 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs Real Union
0:2
Sep 16, 2006 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Real Union vs Alfaro
3:1
Mar 20, 2005 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs Real Union
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Union Compare
Top Goalscorer Soroeta J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Louakima C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Alfaro Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Union 95 / 100
Alfaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Union Alfaro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Real Union Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Union scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Alfaro has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Real Union has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Real Union VS Alfaro
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Union
(Home) 19 Sept
Real Union
2 : 2 Mirandes
13 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
3 : 2 Real Union
05 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca
2 : 4 Real Union
30 Aug
Real Union
4 : 1 CD Coria
12 Aug
Real Union
3 : 0 Osasuna B
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19 Sept
Real Union
2 : 2 Mirandes
30 Aug
Real Union
4 : 1 CD Coria
12 Aug
Real Union
3 : 0 Osasuna B
08 Aug
Real Union
1 : 1 Eibar
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0 Alfaro
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Alfaro
(Away) 20 Sept
Alfaro
1 : 2 Haro Deportivo
13 Sept
Alfaro
2 : 1 Yague
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2 Alfaro
07 Aug
Alfaro
0 : 4 Tudelano
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0 Alfaro
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06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2 Alfaro
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0 Alfaro
12 Apr
Tudelano
3 : 1 Alfaro
29 Mar
Basconia
6 : 4 Alfaro
15 Mar
SD Ejea
2 : 2 Alfaro
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Union | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 64:35 | 69 |
| 2 | Alaves B | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 41:20 | 62 |
| 3 | UD Logrones | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 73:33 | 61 |
| 4 | Utebo FC | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 56:42 | 58 |
| 5 | Tudelano | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56:40 | 57 |
| 6 | Amorebieta | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 38:32 | 50 |
| 7 | Sestao | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 40:33 | 50 |
| 8 | Ebro | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 42:36 | 49 |
| 9 | Eibar B | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 41:42 | 49 |
| 10 | Basconia | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55:43 | 47 |
| 11 | Gernika Club | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Naxara | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 39:48 | 41 |
| 13 | SD Logrones | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 22:40 | 37 |
| 14 | Beasain | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 38:46 | 36 |
| 15 | SD Ejea | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 35:55 | 35 |
| 16 | Mutilvera | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 31:65 | 30 |
| 17 | Zaragoza B | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 32:59 | 28 |
| 18 | Alfaro | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | 25 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
