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Rebel Kyiv vs Atlet Kiev - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rebel Kyiv host Atlet Kiev in the Druha Liga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Rebel Kyiv at 1.38 goals for, 1.38 against; Atlet Kiev at 1.72 for, 1.59 against. Head-to-head, Rebel Kyiv have won 1 to Atlet Kiev's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 3, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 2.00, favoring Rebel Kyiv. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Rebel Kyiv
35%
Draws
32%
Atlet Kiev
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Rebel Kyiv have managed 1.38 goals a game lately — Atlet Kiev are scoring more at 1.72.
  • Rebel Kyiv are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Druha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Rebel Kyiv Clean Sheet 10%
Atlet Kiev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rebel Kyiv Atlet Kiev
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Druha Liga
Atlet Kiev vs Rebel Kyiv
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rebel Kyiv 34 / 100
Atlet Kiev 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rebel Kyiv Atlet Kiev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Rebel Kyiv found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Atlet Kiev conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Rebel Kyiv went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rebel Kyiv VS Atlet Kiev
1.75 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rebel Kyiv

(Home)
03 Oct
Rebel Kyiv
1 : 2
Lozova
27 Sept
Trostyanets
2 : 2
Rebel Kyiv
12 Sept
Oleksandriya 2
1 : 1
Rebel Kyiv
06 Sept
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
0 : 3
Rebel Kyiv
29 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
2 : 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Page 1 of 6

Atlet Kiev

(Away)
02 Oct
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
1 : 1
Atlet Kiev
27 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 3
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
21 Sept
SC Poltava 2
0 : 3
Atlet Kiev
13 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 2
Karbon Cherkasy
04 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 0
Oleksandriya 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bratslav Vinnytsia 8 6 2 0 20:7 20
2 Nyva Vinnytsya 8 4 3 1 14:8 15
3 Dnister Zalishchyky 8 4 2 2 16:13 14
4 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 8 4 1 3 15:14 13
5 FC Vilkhivtsi 8 3 2 3 11:13 11
6 Nyva Ternopil 2 8 3 0 5 8:15 9
7 Skala 1911 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
8 Dinaz Vyshgorod 8 1 4 3 12:18 7
9 Rukh Lviv 8 1 0 7 13:16 3
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karbon Cherkasy 8 4 3 1 13:9 15
2 Lozova 8 4 1 3 9:9 13
3 Atlet Kiev 8 3 3 2 16:12 12
4 SC Poltava 2 8 3 2 3 5:6 11
5 Rebel Kyiv 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
6 Oleksandriya 2 8 2 4 2 8:7 10
7 Trostyanets 7 2 4 1 8:5 10
8 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 7 1 3 3 8:10 6
9 Penuel Kryvyi Rih 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)