Sport Picks
Rebel Kyiv vs Hirnyk-Sport Prediction & H2H Stats
Ukraine
Druha Liga 2025/2026 
Match Events
17'
17'
Bazayev Y.
26'
26'
Yushko D.
59'
59'
Klymenko V.
AI Match Summary
The Druha Liga 2025/2026 game between Rebel Kyiv and Hirnyk-Sport finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rebel Kyiv.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
35%
13%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rebel Kyiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Rebel Kyiv carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Rebel Kyiv a 52% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Rebel Kyiv here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Rebel Kyiv Clean Sheet 20%
Hirnyk-Sport Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rebel Kyiv | Hirnyk-Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 2.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 8, 2026 Druha Liga
Rebel Kyiv vs Hirnyk-Sport
4:0
Oct 12, 2025 Druha Liga
Hirnyk-Sport vs Rebel Kyiv
0:2
Aug 2, 2025 Druha Liga
Rebel Kyiv vs Hirnyk-Sport
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rebel Kyiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Bazayev Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yushko D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Hirnyk-Sport Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rebel Kyiv 85 / 100
Hirnyk-Sport 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rebel Kyiv Hirnyk-Sport
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rebel Kyiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Rebel Kyiv scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.
Defensive concern: Hirnyk-Sport conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Rebel Kyiv remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Rebel Kyiv VS Hirnyk-Sport
1.63 Goals Scored 0.8
1.75 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 60%
Recent Form & Match History
Rebel Kyiv
(Home) 27 Sept
Trostyanets
2 : 2 Rebel Kyiv
12 Sept
Oleksandriya 2
1 : 1 Rebel Kyiv
06 Sept
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
0 : 3 Rebel Kyiv
29 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
2 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
21 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
0 : 4 Ahrobiznes Volochysk
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29 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
2 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
21 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
0 : 4 Ahrobiznes Volochysk
09 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
3 : 5 Karbon Cherkasy
10 May
Rebel Kyiv
1 : 0 Oleksandriya 2
02 May
Rebel Kyiv
1 : 2 Lokomotyv Kyiv
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Hirnyk-Sport
(Away) 22 May
Hirnyk-Sport
1 : 1 Trostyanets
16 May
Lokomotyv Kyiv
6 : 0 Hirnyk-Sport
10 May
Hirnyk-Sport
1 : 1 Kolos Kovalivka 2
06 May
Dinaz Vyshgorod
4 : 0 Hirnyk-Sport
01 May
Hirnyk-Sport
2 : 3 Penuel Kryvyi Rih
Page 1 of 6
16 May
Lokomotyv Kyiv
6 : 0 Hirnyk-Sport
06 May
Dinaz Vyshgorod
4 : 0 Hirnyk-Sport
19 Apr
Ch. Odesa 2
1 : 0 Hirnyk-Sport
08 Apr
Rebel Kyiv
4 : 0 Hirnyk-Sport
29 Mar
Oleksandriya 2
1 : 2 Hirnyk-Sport
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kulikiv | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 58:18 | 68 |
| 2 | Zhytomyr 2 | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 69:22 | 63 |
| 3 | Nyva Vinnytsya | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 42:32 | 51 |
| 4 | Nyva Ternopil 2 | 30 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 30:43 | 50 |
| 5 | Atlet Kiev | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 45:48 | 46 |
| 6 | FC Uzhhorod | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 40:37 | 44 |
| 7 | Skala 1911 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 62:48 | 44 |
| 8 | FC Vilkhivtsi | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 50:46 | 41 |
| 9 | Bukovyna 2 | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 31:57 | 27 |
| 10 | Real Pharma Odesa | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 18:96 | 7 |
| 11 | Lisne | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 32:30 | 27 |
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lokomotyv Kyiv | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 65:16 | 70 |
| 2 | Kolos Kovalivka 2 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 64:22 | 69 |
| 3 | Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 58:41 | 57 |
| 4 | Rebel Kyiv | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 34:27 | 50 |
| 5 | Livyi Bereg 2 | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 50:28 | 48 |
| 6 | Trostyanets | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 46:31 | 47 |
| 7 | Oleksandriya 2 | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 37:32 | 44 |
| 8 | Ch. Odesa 2 | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 25:56 | 24 |
| 9 | Dinaz Vyshgorod | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 26:62 | 19 |
| 10 | Penuel Kryvyi Rih | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 27:64 | 17 |
| 11 | Hirnyk-Sport | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 20:73 | 14 |
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)
