Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rebel Kyiv vs Hirnyk-Sport

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Bazayev Y.
26' Event
Yushko D.
59' Event
Klymenko V.

AI Match Summary

The Druha Liga 2025/2026 game between Rebel Kyiv and Hirnyk-Sport finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rebel Kyiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Rebel Kyiv
6%
Draws
4%
Hirnyk-Sport
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rebel Kyiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Rebel Kyiv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Rebel Kyiv a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Rebel Kyiv here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Rebel Kyiv Clean Sheet 20%
Hirnyk-Sport Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rebel Kyiv Hirnyk-Sport
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Druha Liga
Rebel Kyiv vs Hirnyk-Sport
4:0
Oct 12, 2025 Druha Liga
Hirnyk-Sport vs Rebel Kyiv
0:2
Aug 2, 2025 Druha Liga
Rebel Kyiv vs Hirnyk-Sport
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rebel Kyiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Bazayev Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yushko D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hirnyk-Sport Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rebel Kyiv 85 / 100
Hirnyk-Sport 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rebel Kyiv Hirnyk-Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rebel Kyiv scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Hirnyk-Sport conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Rebel Kyiv remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rebel Kyiv VS Hirnyk-Sport
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rebel Kyiv

(Home)
10 Jul
Kudrivka
2 : 1
Rebel Kyiv
16 May
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka
0 : 2
Rebel Kyiv
10 May
Rebel Kyiv
1 : 0
Oleksandriya 2
06 May
Trostyanets
1 : 2
Rebel Kyiv
02 May
Rebel Kyiv
1 : 2
Lokomotyv Kyiv
Page 1 of 6

Hirnyk-Sport

(Away)
22 May
Hirnyk-Sport
1 : 1
Trostyanets
16 May
Lokomotyv Kyiv
6 : 0
Hirnyk-Sport
10 May
Hirnyk-Sport
1 : 1
Kolos Kovalivka 2
06 May
Dinaz Vyshgorod
4 : 0
Hirnyk-Sport
01 May
Hirnyk-Sport
2 : 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kulikiv30215458:1868
2Zhytomyr 230189369:2263
3Nyva Vinnytsya30156942:3251
4Nyva Ternopil 2301621230:4350
5Atlet Kiev301441245:4846
6FC Uzhhorod301351240:3744
7Skala 1911301351262:4844
8FC Vilkhivtsi301251350:4641
9Bukovyna 230761731:5727
10Real Pharma Odesa30142518:967
11Lisne30831932:3027
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lokomotyv Kyiv30224465:1670
2Kolos Kovalivka 230216364:2269
3Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka30176758:4157
4Rebel Kyiv301551034:2750
5Livyi Bereg 230139850:2848
6Trostyanets30138946:3147
7Oleksandriya 2301281037:3244
8Ch. Odesa 230591625:5624
9Dinaz Vyshgorod30542126:6219
10Penuel Kryvyi Rih30381927:6417
11Hirnyk-Sport30352220:7314
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)