Sport Picks
Rebel Kyiv vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ukraine
Druha Liga 
Match Events
21'
21'
Stavnychyi V.
55'
55'
Bryzhenko O.
78'
78'
Doroshenko D.
AI Match Summary
Rebel Kyiv in this Druha Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rebel Kyiv.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rebel Kyiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Rebel Kyiv have won more games recently than MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya.
- Rebel Kyiv are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Druha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Rebel Kyiv Clean Sheet 14%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rebel Kyiv | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 0.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Druha Liga
Rebel Kyiv vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rebel Kyiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Stavnychyi V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bryzhenko O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Compare
Top Goalscorer Doroshenko D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rebel Kyiv 48 / 100
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rebel Kyiv MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rebel Kyiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Rebel Kyiv scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Rebel Kyiv stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rebel Kyiv VS MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Rebel Kyiv
(Home) 03 Oct
Rebel Kyiv
1 : 2 Lozova
27 Sept
Trostyanets
2 : 2 Rebel Kyiv
12 Sept
Oleksandriya 2
1 : 1 Rebel Kyiv
06 Sept
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
0 : 3 Rebel Kyiv
29 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
2 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Rebel Kyiv
1 : 2 Lozova
29 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
2 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
21 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
0 : 4 Ahrobiznes Volochysk
09 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
3 : 5 Karbon Cherkasy
10 May
Rebel Kyiv
1 : 0 Oleksandriya 2
Page 1 of 3
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
(Away) 09 Oct
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 0 SC Poltava 2
04 Oct
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 2 Karbon Cherkasy
27 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 3 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
20 Sept
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 2 Lozova
29 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
2 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 3 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
29 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
2 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
23 Aug
Olympia Savyntsi
2 : 1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
09 Aug
Oleksandriya 2
0 : 0 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
02 Aug
SC Poltava 2
0 : 0 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bratslav Vinnytsia | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 25:8 | 23 |
| 2 | Dnister Zalishchyky | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 3 | Nyva Vinnytsya | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:19 | 13 |
| 5 | FC Vilkhivtsi | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:13 | 12 |
| 6 | Nyva Ternopil 2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:15 | 10 |
| 7 | Skala 1911 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 8 | Dinaz Vyshgorod | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 9 | Rukh Lviv | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14:17 | 4 |
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karbon Cherkasy | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 2 | Lozova | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 3 | Atlet Kiev | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 4 | SC Poltava 2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5:7 | 11 |
| 5 | Rebel Kyiv | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 11 |
| 6 | Oleksandriya 2 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Trostyanets | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 8 | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | 9 |
| 9 | Penuel Kryvyi Rih | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:15 | 5 |
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
