Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Guerreros de Autlan

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Reboceros de La Piedad play Guerreros de Autlan in the Liga Premier Serie A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Reboceros de La Piedad averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Guerreros de Autlan averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. In past meetings, Reboceros de La Piedad won 1, Guerreros de Autlan won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 12, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Reboceros de La Piedad and 2.19 for Guerreros de Autlan. This points to a Guerreros de Autlan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Reboceros de La Piedad

15%

Draws

48%

Guerreros de Autlan

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guerreros de Autlan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Reboceros de La Piedad picked up more points recently compared to Guerreros de Autlan.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 2.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 90%

Over 2.5 Goals 71%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%

Reboceros de La Piedad Clean Sheet 10%

Guerreros de Autlan Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 81%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Reboceros de La Piedad	Guerreros de Autlan
Matches Played	30	26
Wins	8	8
Draws	1	5
Losses	21	13
Goals Scored	1.5	1.46
Goals Conceded	2.5	1.69
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.13	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Reboceros de La Piedad vs Guerreros de Autlan

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

3:0

Nov 22, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Guerreros de Autlan vs Reboceros de La Piedad

Possession: 57% - 58% Cards: 1 - 0

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reboceros de La Piedad Compare

Top Goalscorer Linares E.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Rodriguez Rodriguez E. O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Guerreros de Autlan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reboceros de La Piedad 35 / 100

Guerreros de Autlan 45 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Reboceros de La Piedad Guerreros de Autlan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Guerreros de Autlan or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.3%

1.54

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Reboceros de La Piedad attacking → ← attacking Guerreros de Autlan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Reboceros de La Piedad scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Guerreros de Autlan let in goals in 88% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Reboceros de La Piedad went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Guerreros de Autlan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 29

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

3.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17