Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Goncalves C.
28'
28'
Witiness J.
38'
38'
Watts
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-3, with Nacional advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rebordelo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
0%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Nacional come out ahead of Rebordelo on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Nacional arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Nacional, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Rebordelo Clean Sheet 10%
Nacional Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rebordelo | Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 8 | 30 |
| Wins | 1 | 7 |
| Draws | 0 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.13 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 2.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 18, 2025 Taça de Portugal
Rebordelo vs Nacional
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rebordelo Compare
Top Goalscorer Pereira M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Nacional Compare
Top Goalscorer Goncalves C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Witiness J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rebordelo 34 / 100
Nacional 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rebordelo Nacional
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nacional Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Nacional registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Rebordelo found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (8 games).
Nacional let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Rebordelo VS Nacional
0 Goals Scored 1.38
4 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Rebordelo
(Home) 30 Aug
Rebordelo
0 : 4 GD Braganca
18 Oct
Rebordelo
1 : 3 Nacional
21 Sept
Rebordelo
3 : 2 CD Gouveia
10 Sept
Rebordelo
1 : 3 Os Sandinenses
11 Sept
Rebordelo
0 : 5 CDC Montalegre
Page 1 of 2
30 Aug
Rebordelo
0 : 4 GD Braganca
18 Oct
Rebordelo
1 : 3 Nacional
21 Sept
Rebordelo
3 : 2 CD Gouveia
10 Sept
Rebordelo
1 : 3 Os Sandinenses
11 Sept
Rebordelo
0 : 5 CDC Montalegre
Page 1 of 2
Nacional
(Away) 19 Sept
Nacional
0 : 4 Famalicao
12 Sept
Nacional
1 : 3 Alverca
05 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 0 Nacional
30 Aug
Nacional
2 : 3 Estrela da Amadora
23 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 0 Nacional
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 0 Nacional
23 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 0 Nacional
10 Aug
Santa Clara
2 : 2 Nacional
01 Aug
Maritimo
1 : 0 Nacional
23 Jul
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 0 Nacional
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
Florgrade 0
SC Espinho 1
TBD -
Almodovar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Industria 1
Juv. Evora 0
SC Salgueiros 4
AD Pontassolense 2
Trofense 5
Varzim 1
Valenciano 1
SC Vianense 4
GD Os Nazarenos 1
GD Sourense 0
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Moncarapachense 3
Viana Alentejo 0
Castro Daire 1
Anadia 2
Marinhense 2
Samora Correia 1
TBD -
Mosteirense -
Uniao Lamas -
TBD -
Urzelinense 0
Malveira 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Carregal do Sal 1
Mortagua FC 2
Academica 0
Os Marialvas 1
Portimonense B -
TBD -
TBD -
Penafiel -
Fornos de Algodres -
TBD -
Charneca Caparica 1
Montijo 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFS -
Portalegrense -
TBD -
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Celoricense 1
CD Celeiros 0
TBD -
Mafra -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
Sintrense -
TBD -
TBD -
Vizela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rio Ave -
CF Os Belenenses 1
Amora 0
TBD -
Maritimo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estoril -
Sao Joao de Ver -
TBD -
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 2
Lagoa 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Famalicao -
Cinfaes 0
AD Marco 09 1
SC Lusitania 0
O Elvas CAD 3
Vidago -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Farense -
Silves FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Oliveira Hospital -
Louletano -
TBD -
TBD -
Operario -
Atletico CP -
TBD -
Rebordosa 2
Leca 0
Sanjoanense -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Felgueiras -
Paredes -
TBD -
TBD -
Chaves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
UD Ovarense 7
SC Celoricense 1
TBD -
Covilha -
Uniao Nogueirense -
TBD -
TBD -
Aguias do Moradal -
CD Lajense 1
Lusitano GC 7
Serpa 3
Portel 0
Fayal 0
Olivais e Moscavide 5
TBD -
Uniao Da Serra -
Oriental 2
GD Alcochetense 1
TBD -
AD Fafe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moreirense -
Vitoria Sernache -
TBD -
TBD -
Portimonense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
Sao Martinho 1
Machico 2
SC Vila Real 3
Camacha 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
Caldas SC 4
AD Portomosense 0
TBD -
Fatima -
Fazendense -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Mirandela -
GD Braganca -
TBD -
Maria de Fonte 1
Brito 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
Rebordelo -
TBD -
CD Gouveia 4
Beira Mar 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
FC Alpendorada -
TBD -
TBD -
Estrela Calheta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
Anca -
TBD -
TBD -
Vinhais -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Castrense 1
CDR Quarteirense 0
TBD -
Lusitania FC -
GD Resende -
TBD -
TBD -
Feirense -
Correlha 2
Valpacos 0
TBD -
Torreense -
Vilaverdense FC 0
Desportivo Moncao 1
TBD -
Oliveirense -
AD Limianos -
TBD -
Aparecida 1
Vila Mea 3
Vila Caiz 1
CD Ribeira Brava 0
TBD -
Electrico FC -
Tirsense 1
Amarante FC 2
TBD -
Santarem -
Naval 1893 3
Ac. Fundao 0
TBD -
Leixoes -
GD Peniche 8
Ferreira do Zezere 0
Lajense 0
1º Dezembro 1
SB Castelo Branco -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Angrense -
Sacavenense 7
CD Rabo Peixe 0
TBD -
Leiria -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alverca -
1/64-finals
SC Espinho 5
Almodovar 1
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Industria 4
SC Salgueiros 2
Trofense 2
SC Vianense 3
GD Os Nazarenos 0
Pacos Ferreira 1
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Moncarapachense 1
Anadia 2
Marinhense 6
Mosteirense 0
Uniao Lamas 2
Malveira 1
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Mortagua FC 1
Os Marialvas 0
Portimonense B 2
Penafiel 1
Fornos de Algodres 3
Charneca Caparica 1
TBD -
AFS -
Portalegrense 0
Academico Viseu 3
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Celoricense 1
Mafra 0
TBD -
FC Porto -
Sintrense 2
Vizela 1
TBD -
Rio Ave -
CF Os Belenenses 2
Maritimo 0
TBD -
Estoril -
Sao Joao de Ver 6
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 2
TBD -
Famalicao -
AD Marco 09 1
O Elvas CAD 0
Vidago 0
SC Farense 2
Silves FC 3
Oliveira Hospital 2
Louletano 5
Operario 0
Atletico CP 1
Rebordosa 0
Sanjoanense 0
FC Felgueiras 4
Paredes 0
Chaves 2
TBD -
Benfica -
UD Ovarense 2
Covilha 3
Uniao Nogueirense 1
Aguias do Moradal 0
Lusitano GC 1
Serpa 0
Olivais e Moscavide 2
Uniao Da Serra 0
Oriental 0
AD Fafe 1
TBD -
Moreirense -
Vitoria Sernache 1
Portimonense 2
TBD -
Arouca -
Machico 0
SC Vila Real 2
TBD -
Tondela -
Caldas SC 3
Fatima 0
Fazendense 1
SC Mirandela 2
GD Braganca 5
Brito 0
TBD -
Braga -
Rebordelo 3
CD Gouveia 2
TBD -
Nacional -
FC Alpendorada 7
Estrela Calheta 1
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
Anca 3
Vinhais 1
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Castrense 0
Lusitania FC 5
GD Resende 1
Feirense 0
Correlha 1
Torreense 3
Desportivo Moncao 1
Oliveirense 3
AD Limianos 0
Vila Mea 4
Vila Caiz 3
Electrico FC 2
Amarante FC 2
Santarem 0
Naval 1893 0
Leixoes 1
GD Peniche 4
1º Dezembro 5
SB Castelo Branco 7
SC Angrense 1
Sacavenense 2
Leiria 4
TBD -
Alverca -
1/32-finals
SC Espinho 0
Santa Clara 1
Industria 3
SC Vianense 0
Pacos Ferreira 2
Sporting CP 3
Anadia 0
Marinhense 1
Uniao Lamas 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Mortagua FC 2
Portimonense B 0
Fornos de Algodres 0
AFS 7
Academico Viseu 2
Gil Vicente 1
Celoricense 0
FC Porto 4
Sintrense 3
Rio Ave 2
CF Os Belenenses 1
Estoril 2
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Famalicao 3
AD Marco 09 0
SC Farense 3
Silves FC 2
Louletano 1
Atletico CP 2
FC Felgueiras 0
Chaves 0
Benfica 2
Covilha 1
Uniao Nogueirense 0
Lusitano GC 4
Olivais e Moscavide 1
AD Fafe 1
Moreirense 0
Portimonense 1
Arouca 2
SC Vila Real 1
Tondela 5
Caldas SC 1
SC Mirandela 0
GD Braganca 0
Braga 1
Rebordelo 1
Nacional 3
FC Alpendorada 3
Estrela da Amadora 1
Anca 0
Casa Pia 3
Lusitania FC 2
GD Resende 0
Torreense 2
Oliveirense 1
Vila Mea 1
Vila Caiz 0
Amarante FC 1
Leixoes 2
1º Dezembro 2
SB Castelo Branco 1
Leiria 3
Alverca 2
1/16-finals
Santa Clara 3
Industria 0
Sporting CP 3
Marinhense 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 4
Mortagua FC 0
AFS 1
Academico Viseu 0
FC Porto 3
Sintrense 0
Estoril 1
Famalicao 2
SC Farense 5
Silves FC 1
Atletico CP 0
Benfica 2
Covilha 0
Lusitano GC 2
AD Fafe 2
Arouca 1
Tondela 0
Caldas SC 1
Braga 4
Nacional 2
FC Alpendorada 0
Casa Pia 3
Lusitania FC 0
Torreense 1
Vila Mea 2
Leixoes 1
1º Dezembro 1
Leiria 3
1/8-finals
Santa Clara 2
Sporting CP 3
Vitoria Guimaraes 0
AFS 1
FC Porto 4
Famalicao 1
SC Farense 0
Benfica 2
Lusitano GC 0
AD Fafe 1
Caldas SC 0
Braga 3
Casa Pia 1
Torreense 2
Vila Mea 0
Leiria 1
Quarter-finals
Sporting CP 3
AFS 2
FC Porto 1
Benfica 0
AD Fafe 2
Braga 1
Torreense 3
Leiria 1
Semi-finals
Sporting CP 1
FC Porto 0
AD Fafe 1
Torreense 3
Final
Sporting CP 1
Torreense 2
