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Rebordosa vs Florgrade

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Soares Almeida D.

AI Match Summary

Rebordosa in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rebordosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Rebordosa
15%
Draws
64%
Florgrade
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Florgrade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Rebordosa average 1.23 goals a game right now, well clear of Florgrade's 1.13.
  • Florgrade are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Rebordosa Clean Sheet 18%
Florgrade Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rebordosa Florgrade
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.23 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Florgrade vs Rebordosa
2:1
Dec 21, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Rebordosa vs Florgrade
1:0
Feb 18, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Florgrade vs Rebordosa
0:0
Oct 28, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Rebordosa vs Florgrade
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rebordosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Soares Almeida D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Florgrade Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rebordosa 15 / 100
Florgrade 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rebordosa Florgrade

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Florgrade Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rebordosa scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Florgrade conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Rebordosa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rebordosa VS Florgrade
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rebordosa

(Home)
27 Sept
AD Limianos
1 : 1
Rebordosa
06 Sept
Rebordosa
1 : 0
Vila Mea
30 Aug
Rebordosa
2 : 3
FC Alpendorada
23 Aug
Chaves B
1 : 0
Rebordosa
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
Page 1 of 6

Florgrade

(Away)
27 Sept
Camacha
0 : 1
Florgrade
13 Sept
Florgrade
2 : 0
Sanjoanense
06 Sept
Camacha
1 : 0
Florgrade
30 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
23 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Guarda FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)