Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rebordosa vs SC Vila Real

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Goncalves L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Rebordosa in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rebordosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Rebordosa
30%
Draws
23%
SC Vila Real
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rebordosa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rebordosa lately — more wins on the board than SC Vila Real.
  • Model gives Rebordosa a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Rebordosa Clean Sheet 68%
SC Vila Real Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rebordosa SC Vila Real
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 8 12
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.24 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.57 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Vila Real vs Rebordosa
2:2
Dec 7, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Rebordosa vs SC Vila Real
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Rebordosa vs SC Vila Real
5:0
Dec 8, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Vila Real vs Rebordosa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rebordosa 86 / 100
SC Vila Real 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rebordosa SC Vila Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rebordosa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rebordosa scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

SC Vila Real has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

SC Vila Real lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rebordosa VS SC Vila Real
0.75 Goals Scored 0.8
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.4
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 80%
13% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Rebordosa

(Home)
27 Sept
AD Limianos
1 : 1
Rebordosa
06 Sept
Rebordosa
1 : 0
Vila Mea
30 Aug
Rebordosa
2 : 3
FC Alpendorada
23 Aug
Chaves B
1 : 0
Rebordosa
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
Page 1 of 6

SC Vila Real

(Away)
18 Apr
Leca
3 : 0
SC Vila Real
12 Apr
SC Vila Real
1 : 1
Vila Mea
04 Apr
SC Vila Real
2 : 2
Rebordosa
22 Mar
Aparecida
3 : 1
SC Vila Real
15 Mar
SC Vila Real
0 : 3
GD Resende
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)