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Rebordosa vs Tirsense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A Complexo Desportivo Azevido, Rebordosa
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Joao P.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A game between Rebordosa and Tirsense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tirsense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Rebordosa
15%
Draws
59%
Tirsense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tirsense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rebordosa come out ahead of Tirsense on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Tirsense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Rebordosa Clean Sheet 16%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rebordosa Tirsense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.24 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Rebordosa vs Tirsense
0:1
Jan 12, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Tirsense vs Rebordosa
3:3
Dec 21, 2024 Taça de Portugal
Tirsense vs Rebordosa
1:0
Aug 18, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Rebordosa vs Tirsense
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rebordosa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Tirsense Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rebordosa 23 / 100
Tirsense 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rebordosa Tirsense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tirsense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rebordosa found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Tirsense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Rebordosa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rebordosa VS Tirsense
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rebordosa

(Home)
27 Sept
AD Limianos
1 : 1
Rebordosa
06 Sept
Rebordosa
1 : 0
Vila Mea
30 Aug
Rebordosa
2 : 3
FC Alpendorada
23 Aug
Chaves B
1 : 0
Rebordosa
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
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Tirsense

(Away)
19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2
Tirsense
13 Sept
Tirsense
2 : 0
Brito
06 Sept
Celoricense
2 : 1
Tirsense
23 Aug
Tirsense
3 : 0
Vinhais
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Tirsense 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
3 Chaves B 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
4 Braga B 4 2 2 0 8:3 8
5 AD Limianos 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
6 Vila Mea 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
7 Celoricense 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
8 CDC Montalegre 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
9 Rebordosa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
10 Brito 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
11 Ponte da Barca 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
12 Maria de Fonte 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
13 Maia Lidador 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
14 Vinhais 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)