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Rebordosa vs Valadares Gaia FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Silva M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024 game between Rebordosa and Valadares Gaia FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rebordosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Rebordosa
39%
Draws
31%
Valadares Gaia FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rebordosa come out ahead of Valadares Gaia FC on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Rebordosa Clean Sheet 68%
Valadares Gaia FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rebordosa Valadares Gaia FC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Rebordosa vs Valadares Gaia FC
1:0
Sep 17, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Valadares Gaia FC vs Rebordosa
0:0
Mar 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Valadares Gaia FC vs Rebordosa
1:1
Nov 27, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Rebordosa vs Valadares Gaia FC
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rebordosa 41 / 100
Valadares Gaia FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rebordosa Valadares Gaia FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rebordosa found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Valadares Gaia FC conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Valadares Gaia FC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Rebordosa VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Amarante FC26178140:1559
2Sao Joao de Ver26129527:1845
3Gondomar26127728:2043
4AD Marco 0926118729:2241
5Rebordosa26812627:2336
6Paredes2698931:2535
7SC Salgueiros2698935:2635
8Vitoria Guimaraes B26810835:3234
9Beira Mar26810831:3134
10Florgrade2689924:2433
11Oliveira do Douro26681225:3326
12Valadares Gaia FC26661422:4724
13ACDR Lamelas26731619:3924
14Vila Mea26641627:4522