Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Recanatese vs Celano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2014/2015 game between Recanatese and Celano finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Recanatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Recanatese
20%
Draws
7%
Celano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Recanatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Recanatese come out ahead of Celano on wins alone.
  • Recanatese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Recanatese Clean Sheet 16%
Celano Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recanatese Celano
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.32 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Celano
2:1
Oct 19, 2014 Serie D - Group F
Celano vs Recanatese
1:3
Jan 19, 2014 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Celano
1:1
Sep 15, 2013 Serie D - Group F
Celano vs Recanatese
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recanatese 84 / 100
Celano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recanatese Celano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Recanatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celano has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Recanatese found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Recanatese remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Recanatese VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Recanatese

(Home)
17 May
Recanatese
4 : 1
San Marino Calcio
03 May
Recanatese
2 : 0
Fossombrone
26 Apr
Teramo
2 : 2
Recanatese
19 Apr
Recanatese
2 : 0
AS Sora
12 Apr
Maceratese
2 : 1
Recanatese
Page 1 of 7

Celano

(Away)
10 May
Celano
0 : 1
Vis Pesaro
03 May
Matelica
1 : 1
Celano
26 Apr
Celano
0 : 1
Campobasso
19 Apr
Fermana
1 : 0
Celano
12 Apr
Celano
0 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maceratese 34 22 12 0 61:22 78
2 Fano 34 22 8 4 60:25 74
3 Sambenedettese 34 18 9 7 71:40 63
4 Campobasso 34 15 12 7 49:42 57
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 13 8 59:46 52
6 Calcio Chieti 34 12 14 8 52:46 50
7 Civitanovese Calcio 34 13 11 10 56:51 50
8 Matelica 34 11 12 11 36:34 45
9 Giulianova 34 10 15 9 44:43 45
10 Fermana 34 11 9 14 37:44 42
11 Jesina 34 10 12 12 40:38 42
12 Termoli 34 10 9 15 31:53 39
13 Recanatese 34 9 12 13 37:44 39
14 Amiternina 34 9 11 14 30:45 38
15 Castelfidardo 34 7 10 17 25:49 31
16 Agnonese 34 8 7 19 31:51 31
17 Vis Pesaro 34 6 11 17 35:45 29
18 Celano 34 4 5 25 23:59 17
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2014/2015 (Play Out)