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Recanatese vs Unipomezia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 Nicola Tubaldi, Recanati
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Amadio A.
34' Event
de Santis I.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between Recanatese and Unipomezia finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Unipomezia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Recanatese
35%
Draws
23%
Unipomezia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Recanatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Unipomezia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Recanatese's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Recanatese Clean Sheet 68%
Unipomezia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recanatese Unipomezia
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 7 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.22 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Unipomezia
0:2
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Unipomezia vs Recanatese
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Recanatese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Unipomezia Compare

Top Goalscorer Amadio A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Santis I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recanatese 77 / 100
Unipomezia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recanatese Unipomezia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Recanatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Recanatese stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Recanatese found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Unipomezia has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Recanatese VS Unipomezia
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Recanatese

(Home)
12 Sept
Santegidiese
1 : 1
Recanatese
06 Sept
Recanatese
0 : 0
Pietralunga
17 May
Recanatese
4 : 1
San Marino Calcio
03 May
Recanatese
2 : 0
Fossombrone
26 Apr
Teramo
2 : 2
Recanatese
Page 1 of 6

Unipomezia

(Away)
06 Sept
Paganese
2 : 1
Unipomezia
03 May
Unipomezia
3 : 3
Vigor Senigallia
26 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 1
Unipomezia
19 Apr
Unipomezia
3 : 0
Maceratese
12 Apr
Calcio Chieti
0 : 0
Unipomezia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)