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Recanto W vs Unidos do Alvorada W

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Recanto W play Unidos do Alvorada W in the Amazonense Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Recanto W averaged 0.4 goals scored and 4.93 conceded. Unidos do Alvorada W averaged 0.75 goals scored and 5.25 conceded. In past meetings, Recanto W won 0, Unidos do Alvorada W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 12, 2024 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.75 for Recanto W and 2.75 for Unidos do Alvorada W. This points to a Unidos do Alvorada W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Recanto W
16%
Draws
42%
Unidos do Alvorada W
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Unidos do Alvorada W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Recanto W picked up more points recently compared to Unidos do Alvorada W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.75 vs 2.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Recanto W Clean Sheet 10%
Unidos do Alvorada W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 90%
Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recanto W Unidos do Alvorada W
Matches Played 15 4
Wins 0 0
Draws 2 1
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 0.4 0.75
Goals Conceded 4.93 5.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.75 5.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2024 Amazonense Women
Recanto W vs Unidos do Alvorada W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Recanto W Compare

Top Goalscorer Carvalho da Silva N. K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Unidos do Alvorada W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ranna
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recanto W 40 / 100
Unidos do Alvorada W 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recanto W Unidos do Alvorada W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Unidos do Alvorada W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Recanto W attacking → ← attacking Unidos do Alvorada W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recanto W scored in 33% of their last 15 games.

Unidos do Alvorada W let in goals in 100% of their last 4 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recanto W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Unidos do Alvorada W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

2 Points in last 5 1
0.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
4.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Manaus W330019:49
2Princesa do Solimoes W31117:74
3Recanto W30212:72
4Unidos do Alvorada W30123:131
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Taruma W330017:19
2Sao Paulo AM W32018:46
3Amazonas Legis W31023:93
4Presidente Figueiredo W30031:150