Sport Picks
Recoleta vs Antofagasta
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Leonel Sánchez Lineros, Recoleta 
Match Events
22'
22'
Baez F.
49'
49'
Arguinarena M.
50'
50'
Gallegos Panozzo M.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Ascenso game between Recoleta and Antofagasta finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Antofagasta.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Antofagasta come out ahead of Recoleta on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 15%
Antofagasta Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Recoleta | Antofagasta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.56 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Antofagasta
0:2
Aug 17, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs Recoleta
0:0
Apr 12, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Antofagasta
1:2
Sep 1, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Antofagasta
2:2
Apr 21, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs Recoleta
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Recoleta Compare
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Antofagasta Compare
Top Goalscorer Gallegos Panozzo M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hurtado B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Recoleta 31 / 100
Antofagasta 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Recoleta Antofagasta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Antofagasta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recoleta scored in 70% of their last 27 games.
Defensive concern: Antofagasta conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Recoleta has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recoleta VS Antofagasta
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Recoleta
(Home) 22 Aug
Recoleta
2 : 1 Copiapo
18 Aug
Deportes Temuco
1 : 1 Recoleta
12 Aug
Recoleta
4 : 2 Rangers
08 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 0 Recoleta
02 Aug
Recoleta
0 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Recoleta
2 : 1 Copiapo
12 Aug
Recoleta
4 : 2 Rangers
02 Aug
Recoleta
0 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
20 Jun
Recoleta
0 : 3 Colo Colo
30 May
Recoleta
0 : 0 San Luis
Page 1 of 3
Antofagasta
(Away) 17 Aug
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1 Antofagasta
13 Aug
Antofagasta
0 : 0 S. Wanderers
07 Aug
U. Espanola
0 : 3 Antofagasta
01 Aug
Antofagasta
5 : 1 San Felipe
26 Jul
D. Puerto Montt
3 : 2 Antofagasta
Page 1 of 6
17 Aug
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1 Antofagasta
07 Aug
U. Espanola
0 : 3 Antofagasta
26 Jul
D. Puerto Montt
3 : 2 Antofagasta
05 Jul
La Serena
2 : 4 Antofagasta
28 Jun
Cobresal
0 : 1 Antofagasta
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 38:23 | 38 |
| 2 | S. Wanderers | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 36:21 | 35 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37:35 | 35 |
| 4 | U. Espanola | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29:27 | 34 |
| 5 | San Luis | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 31:25 | 32 |
| 6 | Antofagasta | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:21 | 31 |
| 7 | D. Puerto Montt | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 22:24 | 31 |
| 8 | San Marcos de Arica | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 25:18 | 30 |
| 9 | Recoleta | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 32:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Copiapo | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31:31 | 30 |
| 11 | Deportes Iquique | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 31:26 | 25 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 32:29 | 25 |
| 13 | San Felipe | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 15:35 | 20 |
| 14 | Curico Unido | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18:32 | 17 |
| 15 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 24:37 | 16 |
| 16 | Rangers | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 18:37 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
