Sport Picks
Recoleta vs Boca Juniors - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
South America
Copa Sudamericana Estadio Defensores del Chaco, Asunción 
Match Events
30'
30'
Ascacibar S.
43'
43'
Villa S.
46'
46'
Sub
Aranda T. In: Velasco A.
Out: Aranda T.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-4. The second leg ended 0-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Boca Juniors
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Boca Juniors come out ahead of Recoleta on wins alone.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Boca Juniors arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Boca Juniors, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 16%
Boca Juniors Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Recoleta | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Recoleta vs Boca Juniors
0:4
Aug 11, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Boca Juniors vs Recoleta
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Recoleta Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Boca Juniors Compare
Top Goalscorer Ascacibar S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Villa S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Recoleta 36 / 100
Boca Juniors 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Recoleta Boca Juniors
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Boca Juniors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Recoleta scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.
Boca Juniors's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Recoleta stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recoleta VS Boca Juniors
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Recoleta
(Home) 16 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
12 Oct
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 0 Recoleta
05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Recoleta
24 Sept
Recoleta
3 : 1 Guairena FC
Page 1 of 6
16 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
24 Sept
Recoleta
3 : 1 Guairena FC
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Sportivo Trinidense
03 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Cerro Porteno
Page 1 of 3
Boca Juniors
(Away) 21 Oct
Vasco
1 : 3 Boca Juniors
17 Oct
Boca Juniors
2 : 1 Talleres Cordoba
14 Oct
Boca Juniors
0 : 1 Vasco
09 Oct
Instituto
2 : 2 Boca Juniors
03 Oct
Boca Juniors
3 : 0 Union de Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6
21 Oct
Vasco
1 : 3 Boca Juniors
09 Oct
Instituto
2 : 2 Boca Juniors
27 Sept
Racing Club
2 : 3 Boca Juniors
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Boca Juniors
16 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 1 Boca Juniors
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
1/8-finals
Bragantino 2
Atletico-MG 3
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 1
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 2
Boca Juniors 7
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 2
Sao Paulo 4
Santa Fe 2
River Plate 1
Vasco 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Quarter-finals
Atletico-MG 5
Santos 4
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 2
Boca Juniors 2
Sao Paulo 1
Santa Fe 0
Vasco 2
Semi-finals
Atletico-MG 3
Montevideo City 2
Boca Juniors 3
Vasco 2
Final
Atletico-MG -
Boca Juniors -
