Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Recoleta vs Copiapo

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Leonel Sánchez Lineros, Recoleta
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Recoleta host Copiapo in the Liga de Ascenso. Little to choose between these two on current form. Copiapo have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Recoleta have conceded 1.61 and scored 1.36. Past meetings favor Copiapo slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 2:4. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.06) point toward Copiapo. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Recoleta
35%
Draws
40%
Copiapo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Copiapo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Recoleta haven't matched Copiapo's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 20%
Copiapo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recoleta Copiapo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.36 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs Recoleta
2:4
Oct 4, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Copiapo
0:1
May 24, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs Recoleta
3:0
Aug 30, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs Recoleta
3:2
Apr 15, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Copiapo
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recoleta 36 / 100
Copiapo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recoleta Copiapo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Copiapo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Recoleta's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Copiapo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Recoleta has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Recoleta VS Copiapo
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Recoleta

(Home)
18 Aug
Deportes Temuco
1 : 1
Recoleta
12 Aug
Recoleta
4 : 2
Rangers
08 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 0
Recoleta
02 Aug
Recoleta
0 : 1
D. Puerto Montt
27 Jul
U. Espanola
2 : 1
Recoleta
Page 1 of 6

Copiapo

(Away)
17 Aug
Copiapo
4 : 0
Curico Unido
14 Aug
Deportes Iquique
4 : 0
Copiapo
09 Aug
Copiapo
1 : 1
San Luis
04 Aug
Deportes Temuco
1 : 4
Copiapo
26 Jul
Rangers
0 : 0
Copiapo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 20 10 8 2 38:22 38
2 S. Wanderers 20 9 8 3 36:21 35
3 San Luis 20 8 8 4 31:25 32
4 Magallanes 20 9 5 6 36:35 32
5 Antofagasta 20 8 7 5 33:21 31
6 D. Puerto Montt 20 9 4 7 22:20 31
7 U. Espanola 20 9 4 7 28:27 31
8 San Marcos de Arica 20 7 9 4 24:16 30
9 Copiapo 20 8 6 6 30:29 30
10 Recoleta 20 7 6 7 30:30 27
11 Deportes Temuco 20 6 7 7 32:29 25
12 Deportes Iquique 20 4 10 6 27:26 22
13 Curico Unido 20 4 8 8 18:32 20
14 San Felipe 20 5 5 10 15:35 20
15 Deportes Santa Cruz 20 3 7 10 24:36 16
16 Rangers 20 0 6 14 16:36 6
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)