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Recoleta vs Copiapo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Leonel Sánchez Lineros, Recoleta
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Sanchez P.
36' Event
Sanchez S.
55' Event
Estigarribia G.

AI Match Summary

Recoleta in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Recoleta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Recoleta
30%
Draws
27%
Copiapo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Recoleta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Recoleta haven't matched Copiapo's recent run of results.
  • Recoleta are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 18%
Copiapo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recoleta Copiapo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.36 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Copiapo
2:1
Apr 12, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs Recoleta
2:4
Oct 4, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Copiapo
0:1
May 24, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs Recoleta
3:0
Aug 30, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs Recoleta
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Recoleta Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Estigarribia G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Copiapo Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recoleta 40 / 100
Copiapo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recoleta Copiapo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Recoleta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Recoleta stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Recoleta's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Copiapo has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Recoleta VS Copiapo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Recoleta

(Home)
03 Oct
Recoleta
2 : 1
S. Wanderers
14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0
Recoleta
09 Sept
Recoleta
2 : 1
San Marcos de Arica
06 Sept
Antofagasta
1 : 2
Recoleta
30 Aug
Curico Unido
0 : 0
Recoleta
Page 1 of 6

Copiapo

(Away)
03 Oct
Copiapo
3 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
26 Sept
San Felipe
1 : 4
Copiapo
09 Sept
Copiapo
1 : 1
Magallanes
06 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 1
Copiapo
30 Aug
Copiapo
0 : 4
Antofagasta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 S. Wanderers 26 12 8 6 41:28 44
4 Magallanes 26 12 7 7 42:38 43
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 26 11 8 7 38:34 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
11 Deportes Temuco 26 8 8 10 40:36 32
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 26 6 9 11 22:39 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 26 4 10 12 27:40 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)