Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Dep. Cuenca

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Recoleta play Dep. Cuenca in the Copa Sudamericana. It looks like a close match. Recently, Recoleta averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Dep. Cuenca averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Recoleta won 0, Dep. Cuenca won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 20, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Recoleta and 1.19 for Dep. Cuenca. This points to a Dep. Cuenca double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Recoleta

28%

Draws

38%

Dep. Cuenca

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Dep. Cuenca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Recoleta picked up more points recently compared to Dep. Cuenca.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 47%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Recoleta Clean Sheet 20%

Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Recoleta	Dep. Cuenca
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	10	13
Draws	10	6
Losses	10	9
Goals Scored	1.43	1.18
Goals Conceded	1.27	1.07
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Dep. Cuenca vs Recoleta

Possession: 42% - 58% Cards: 3 - 3

2:2

Apr 29, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Recoleta vs Dep. Cuenca

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recoleta 35 / 100

Dep. Cuenca 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Recoleta Dep. Cuenca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dep. Cuenca or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +30.9%

3.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.7%

2.44

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Recoleta attacking → ← attacking Dep. Cuenca

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recoleta scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Dep. Cuenca let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recoleta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dep. Cuenca lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 45

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Macara	6	2	4	0	6:3	10
2	Tigre	6	2	3	1	8:5	9
3	America De Cali	6	2	3	1	6:5	9
4	Alianza Atl.	6	0	2	4	2:9	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico-MG	6	3	1	2	8:6	10
2	Cienciano	6	2	2	2	5:7	8
3	Juventud	6	1	4	1	10:7	7
4	Academia Puerto Cabello	6	2	1	3	6:9	7

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sao Paulo	6	3	3	0	6:1	12
2	O Higgins	6	3	1	2	8:6	10
3	Millonarios	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
4	Boston River	6	1	0	5	5:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Recoleta	6	1	5	0	6:5	8
2	Santos	6	1	4	1	8:6	7
3	San Lorenzo	6	1	4	1	6:5	7
4	Dep. Cuenca	6	1	3	2	3:7	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Botafogo RJ	6	5	1	0	15:5	16
2	Caracas	6	2	3	1	9:9	9
3	Racing Club	6	2	2	2	11:9	8
4	Independiente	6	0	0	6	3:15	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Montevideo City	6	4	1	1	11:5	13
2	Gremio	6	3	2	1	8:3	11
3	Deportivo Riestra	6	1	2	3	4:10	5
4	Palestino	6	0	3	3	1:6	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpia Asuncion	6	4	1	1	10:6	13
2	Vasco	6	3	1	2	10:6	10
3	A. Italiano	6	2	1	3	7:9	7
4	Barracas Central	6	0	3	3	2:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	River Plate	6	4	2	0	9:3	14
2	Bragantino	6	3	1	2	12:5	10
3	Carabobo	6	3	0	3	6:5	9
4	Blooming	6	0	1	5	3:17	1