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Stadium Background

Recoleta vs Deportes Iquique - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Leonel Sánchez Lineros, Recoleta
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Recoleta host Deportes Iquique in the Liga de Ascenso. This one's hard to separate. Recoleta have averaged 1.34 scored and 1.62 conceded recently, against Deportes Iquique's 1.37 scored and 1.33 conceded. Head-to-head, Recoleta have won 1 to Deportes Iquique's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 7, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.13 - 1.50) back Recoleta to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Recoleta
30%
Draws
37%
Deportes Iquique
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Deportes Iquique

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Deportes Iquique average 1.37 goals a game right now, well clear of Recoleta's 1.34.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 16%
Deportes Iquique Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recoleta Deportes Iquique
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 10 11
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.34 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs Recoleta
1:1
Aug 21, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs Recoleta
2:1
Apr 14, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Deportes Iquique
1:1
Oct 16, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Deportes Iquique
3:0
May 15, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs Recoleta
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recoleta 31 / 100
Deportes Iquique 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recoleta Deportes Iquique

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportes Iquique Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Deportes Iquique conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Recoleta scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recoleta has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Recoleta VS Deportes Iquique
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Recoleta

(Home)
17 Oct
Cobreloa
6 : 1
Recoleta
10 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2
Magallanes
03 Oct
Recoleta
2 : 1
S. Wanderers
14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0
Recoleta
09 Sept
Recoleta
2 : 1
San Marcos de Arica
Page 1 of 6

Deportes Iquique

(Away)
18 Oct
Curico Unido
2 : 2
Deportes Iquique
12 Oct
Deportes Iquique
1 : 0
U. Espanola
04 Oct
San Felipe
0 : 2
Deportes Iquique
27 Sept
Antofagasta
4 : 1
Deportes Iquique
23 Sept
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1
Antofagasta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Luis 28 15 8 5 43:29 53
2 Cobreloa 28 14 9 5 51:30 51
3 S. Wanderers 28 13 8 7 46:31 47
4 Magallanes 28 13 7 8 44:40 46
5 Antofagasta 28 12 9 7 47:26 45
6 Recoleta 28 11 8 9 40:42 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 28 10 10 8 33:27 40
8 Copiapo 28 11 7 10 42:41 40
9 U. Espanola 28 11 6 11 33:35 39
10 Deportes Temuco 28 9 9 10 44:39 36
11 Deportes Iquique 28 8 11 9 38:32 35
12 D. Puerto Montt 28 10 5 13 26:35 35
13 Curico Unido 28 7 10 11 26:42 28
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 28 4 11 13 28:42 23
15 San Felipe 28 5 8 15 18:50 23
16 Rangers 28 5 6 17 28:46 21
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)